Observation #30708

← Research Observations / #30708

🪙 XRP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XRP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.3763

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $82,877,483

Synced: 10-12 13:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-12 11:00) Next (10-12 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XRP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0966

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 11:46:14 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.003031%

Annualized-26.55%

Premium-0.00074250

Settled at: 2026-10-12 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)207,291,924.00

OI (USD)$285,627,542

Mark price$1.3779

Funding next-0.003105%

Day vol (USD)$69,213,806

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 11:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +4.896%

Change 4h +5.889%

Change 24h +3.999%

Z-score 7d 6.31 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.002659%

Avg 24h 0.000957%

Percentile 7d 0.0% bottom

Percentile 30d 0.0%

Δ 4h -0.003890%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.566%

Divergence -4.80 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.207

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.56

OI momentum 4h

+5.877%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

-2

Time: 2026-10-12 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290195	fresh	16h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.460	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 39%	early 18b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.18	25%	↓ -0.80	value	-11.75	—	#146002	0.87	bull_high	+9.88%	-0.48	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:19	↗
4h #296370	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.498	compression	bear_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 39%	late 6b -1.8ATR	—	—	6.72	86%	↑ +0.35	value	-2.94	—	#148817	0.78	bear_high	-0.93%	-0.20	12/10 08:00 upd 12/10 12:14	↗
1h anchor #296369	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.452	expansion	bear_medium_confirmed	54%	noisy_chop 41%	late 10b -2.0ATR	—	—	1.35	86%	↑ +0.69	value	-2.94	—	#148817	0.86	range_medium	-0.70%	-0.13	12/10 11:00 upd 12/10 12:14	↗
15m #296281	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.410	volatile_reversal	bear_low_confirmed	34%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 4b -1.6ATR	—	—	0.33	87%	↑ +0.93	value	-3.23	—	#148651	0.81	bear_low	-0.79%	-0.11	12/10 11:45 upd 12/10 12:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #195370	fresh	2026-10-12 11:00	0s	0.564	0.425	36/86	2026-10-12 12:00	2026-10-12 12:35
4h #195456	fresh	2026-10-12 08:00	0s	0.583	0.362	28/86	2026-10-12 12:00	2026-10-12 12:38
1d #193900	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	16h	0.414	0.487	65/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #148734	fresh	2026-10-12 11:45	0s	$1.3759	$1.4058	$1.3681	hvn	0.07	6.60
7d #148817	fresh	2026-10-12 11:00	0s	$1.4063	$1.4569	$1.3367	value	-2.94	11.81
30d #148900	fresh	2026-10-12 08:00	0s	$1.5047	$1.5992	$1.4136	between	-6.81	9.63

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$1.3922 → $1.4002	0.57%	1.40	0.71	reversion	✓	↓ $0.015855	-2.77
below	$1.4209 → $1.4247	0.27%	0.66	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.044627	-7.81

Prix observé : $1.3763. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.3178 → $1.3384	1.55%	2.02	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.037890	+3.72
below	$1.4500 → $1.4604	0.71%	1.01	0.58	reversion	✓	↓ $0.073748	-7.24
below	$1.4792 → $1.4913	0.81%	1.18	0.58	reversion	✓	↓ $0.102945	-10.11
below	$1.5170 → $1.5239	0.45%	0.67	0.59	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.140730	-13.82

Prix observé : $1.3763. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.2487 → $1.2831	2.71%	1.78	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.093242	+4.84
above	$1.3071 → $1.3209	1.05%	0.71	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.055448	+2.88
below	$1.6129 → $1.6610	2.94%	2.50	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.236598	-12.28

Prix observé : $1.3763. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T15:46:14+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 826,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T15:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}