Observation #30803

← Research Observations / #30803

🪙 DOT page 📊 Market Context

🪙 DOT

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 13:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

12:00–13:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

13:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

14:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.2169

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,264,685

Synced: 10-12 14:00 +1h

← Prev (10-12 12:00) Next (10-12 14:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · DOT — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0308

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 12:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00024275

Settled at: 2026-10-12 13:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,467,979.80

OI (USD)$6,682,965

Mark price$1.2222

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,136,495

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 12:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.283%

Change 4h -3.515%

Change 24h +1.348%

Z-score 7d 0.09

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 100.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -3.642%

Divergence -0.46

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.365

OI / Vol z-7d

0.43

OI momentum 4h

-4.826%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+63 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 12:00:00 OI observed: 11:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 12:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290217	fresh	17h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.595	expansion	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 38%	early 3b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.36	35%	↔ -0.01	above_value	+13.27	—	#146010	0.61	bull_high	+9.88%	+0.63	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:20	↗
4h #296386	fresh	1h	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	0.697	compression	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 36%	early 15b 0.2ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	1.09	81%	↓ -0.72	above_value	+8.39	—	#148825	0.45	bear_high	-0.93%	+0.39	12/10 08:00 upd 12/10 12:14	↗
1h anchor #296849	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.481	expansion_after_compression	range_high	37%	noisy_chop 40%	late 3b -1.8ATR	—	—	2.56	86%	↑ +0.84	above_value	+6.70	—	#149079	0.56	bear_medium_confirmed	-0.94%	-0.21	12/10 12:00 upd 12/10 13:10	↗
15m #296777	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.469	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	50%	noisy_chop 45%	late 6b -2.6ATR	—	—	4.67	100%	↑ +0.23	above_value	+8.39	—	#148825	0.36	bear_low	-0.99%	-0.25	12/10 12:45 upd 12/10 13:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #195551	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	0s	0.570	0.369	18/86	2026-10-12 13:00	2026-10-12 13:35
4h #195465	fresh	2026-10-12 08:00	1h	0.527	0.564	41/86	2026-10-12 12:00	2026-10-12 12:38
1d #193908	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	17h	0.538	0.782	36/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #148992	fresh	2026-10-12 12:45	0s	$1.2626	$1.2702	$1.2438	lvn LVN	-4.61	2.66
7d #149079	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	0s	$1.1036	$1.2339	$1.0235	hvn	6.70	12.44
30d #148908	fresh	2026-10-12 08:00	1h	$1.2030	$1.2762	$1.1111	hvn	1.06	5.12

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$1.2163 → $1.2303	1.15%	1.42	0.69	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$1.2747 → $1.2837	0.70%	0.91	0.93	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.057813	-5.83

Prix observé : $1.2169. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.0092 → $1.0235	1.41%	0.85	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.193360	+11.44
above	$1.0474 → $1.0785	2.92%	1.84	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.138390	+8.19
above	$1.1335 → $1.1550	1.88%	1.27	0.58	reversion	✓	↑ $0.061910	+3.66

Prix observé : $1.2169. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.933630 → $0.980339	4.88%	1.45	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.236561	+7.34
above	$1.0457 → $1.0738	2.64%	0.87	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.143144	+4.44
below	$1.2824 → $1.3073	1.92%	0.77	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.065489	-2.03

Prix observé : $1.2169. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T16:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T16:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}