Observation #30944

← Research Observations / #30944

🪙 ETH page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ETH

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2,512.80

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $812,181,162

Synced: 10-12 16:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-12 14:00) Next (10-12 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ETH — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0872

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 14:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000361%

Annualized-3.16%

Premium-0.00052888

Settled at: 2026-10-12 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,103,199.57

OI (USD)$2,768,975,750

Mark price$2,509.95

Funding next-0.000357%

Day vol (USD)$787,340,339

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 14:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.018%

Change 4h -0.312%

Change 24h -0.666%

Z-score 7d 0.17

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000951%

Avg 24h 0.000449%

Percentile 7d 48.8%

Percentile 30d 16.8%

Δ 4h -0.000299%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.388%

Divergence -0.04

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.374

OI / Vol z-7d

0.12

OI momentum 4h

+0.281%

Funding +ratio 24h

80.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-12 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290127	fresh	19h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.544	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 40%	early 20b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.95	54%	↔ +0.02	value	+2.76	—	#145985	0.91	bull_high	+9.88%	-0.51	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:15	↗
4h #296334	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.490	compression	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 43%	early 2b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.44	72%	↑ +0.38	value	+1.50	—	#148800	0.86	bear_high	-0.93%	+0.09	12/10 08:00 upd 12/10 12:12	↗
1h anchor #297652	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.532	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 5b -1.2ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.53	34%	↑ +0.17	above_value	+0.46	—	#149396	0.87	bear_medium	-0.96%	+0.07	12/10 14:00 upd 12/10 15:08	↗
15m #297586	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.623	compression	bear_low	47%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 11b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.25	21%	↓ -0.43	above_value	+0.31	—	#149227	0.85	bear_low	-0.90%	-0.05	12/10 14:45 upd 12/10 15:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #195697	fresh	2026-10-12 14:00	0s	0.527	0.486	23/80	2026-10-12 15:00	2026-10-12 15:35
4h #195439	fresh	2026-10-12 08:00	3h	0.536	0.439	37/86	2026-10-12 12:00	2026-10-12 12:37
1d #193883	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	19h	0.516	0.493	43/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #149314	fresh	2026-10-12 14:45	0s	$2,534.21	$2,559.43	$2,518.96	between	-3.01	5.69
7d #149396	fresh	2026-10-12 14:00	0s	$2,505.76	$2,588.98	$2,464.82	hvn	0.46	8.02
30d #148883	fresh	2026-10-12 08:00	3h	$2,694.39	$2,775.53	$2,511.34	value	-6.51	10.24

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2,503.40 → $2,507.14	0.15%	0.53	0.44	continuation_down	—	↑ $5.6650	+0.80
below	$2,513.98 → $2,519.59	0.22%	0.79	0.40	continuation_down	—	↓ $1.1825	-0.17
below	$2,571.25 → $2,578.10	0.27%	0.96	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $58.4525	-8.22

Prix observé : $2,512.80. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2,451.61 → $2,459.53	0.32%	0.51	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $53.2667	+3.44
below	$2,623.32 → $2,689.36	2.49%	4.27	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $110.52	-7.14

Prix observé : $2,512.80. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2,356.60 → $2,390.57	1.43%	1.32	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $122.23	+4.74
below	$2,583.05 → $2,609.47	1.02%	1.02	0.48	reversion	—	↓ $70.2500	-2.72
below	$2,767.98 → $2,809.50	1.49%	1.61	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $255.18	-9.89

Prix observé : $2,512.80. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T18:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T18:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}