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← Research Observations / #31086
🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context
🪙 MORPHO
Market snapshot at
2026-10-12 16:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
15:00–16:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
16:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
17:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$2.3969
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $2,273,676
Synced: 10-12 17:01 +1h
← Prev (10-12 15:00) Next (10-12 17:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_consolidation
Environmenttrend_consolidation
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.1667
evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 15:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium0.00001166
Settled at: 2026-10-12 16:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)3,031,596.40
OI (USD)$7,263,705
Mark price$2.3960
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$2,276,992
Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 15:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -0.074%
Change 4h -1.287%
Change 24h —
Z-score 7d -0.02
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001250%
Percentile 7d 87.5%
Percentile 30d 83.8%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -2.247%
Divergence -0.79
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
3.284
OI / Vol z-7d
-0.61
OI momentum 4h
+4.578%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+826 crowded
Time: 2026-10-12 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 147 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#294926
 fresh 20h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.577 compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 37% early 16b -0.4ATR — — 0.19 9% ↓ -0.63 above_value +3.00 — #148119 0.50 bull_high +9.88% -0.43
10/10 20:00
upd 12/10 08:24
 ↗
4h
#298179
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.550 normal bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early 2b -0.9ATR — — 3.48 83% ↑ +0.30 above_value -0.11 — #149619 0.46 bear_high -0.73% +0.04
12/10 12:00
upd 12/10 16:18
 ↗
1h anchor
#298178
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.630 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 39% mid 9b -1.3ATR near 0.1ATR — 0.79 79% ↑ +0.50 above_value -0.11 — #149619 0.66 range_medium -0.46% -0.14
12/10 15:00
upd 12/10 16:18
 ↗
15m
#298016
 fresh 0s ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.376 compression bear_medium
59%
noisy_chop 46% early 2b -0.9ATR — — 0.02 9% ↔ -0.10 above_value -0.34 — #149457 0.56 range_low -0.36% -0.26
12/10 15:45
upd 12/10 16:04
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#195837
 fresh 2026-10-12 15:00 0s 0.521 0.421 42/80 2026-10-12 16:00 2026-10-12 16:36
4h
#195917
 fresh 2026-10-12 12:00 0s 0.538 0.362 29/80 2026-10-12 16:00 2026-10-12 16:39
1d stale 2026-10-09 20:00 1.8d — — — — —

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#149538
 fresh 2026-10-12 15:45 0s $2.4697 $2.5134 $2.4148 between -4.99 6.77
7d
#149619
 fresh 2026-10-12 15:00 0s $2.4004 $2.5586 $2.3536 hvn -0.11 6.52
30d
#149700
 fresh 2026-10-12 12:00 0s $2.7114 $2.8182 $2.4622 between -6.00 6.48

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
below $2.4160 → $2.4333 0.71% 1.18 0.55 reversion ✓ ↓ $0.019100 -1.31
below $2.5085 → $2.5233 0.59% 1.02 0.66 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.111600 -7.66

Prix observé : $2.3969. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
below $2.6121 → $2.6834 2.69% 2.27 0.82 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.215176 -6.85
below $2.7547 → $2.7769 0.81% 0.71 0.70 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.357762 -11.38
below $2.7992 → $2.8215 0.79% 0.71 0.68 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.402321 -12.80

Prix observé : $2.3969. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $2.0351 → $2.0667 1.54% 0.58 0.81 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.330160 +6.01
above $2.2329 → $2.3278 4.16% 1.73 0.81 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.069130 +1.26
below $2.8894 → $2.9843 3.23% 1.73 0.74 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.492480 -8.97

Prix observé : $2.3969. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T19:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T19:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}