Observation #31110

← Research Observations / #31110

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 17:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

16:00–17:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

17:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

18:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$10.5140

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $7,705,327

Synced: 10-12 18:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-12 16:00) Next (10-12 18:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5128

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 16:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000061%

Annualized-0.53%

Premium-0.00050485

Settled at: 2026-10-12 17:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,767,990.20

OI (USD)$29,218,905

Mark price$10.5560

Funding next-0.000200%

Day vol (USD)$8,339,272

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 16:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.244%

Change 4h -0.845%

Change 24h -2.557%

Z-score 7d -0.11

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000054%

Avg 24h 0.000973%

Percentile 7d 20.8%

Percentile 30d 15.1%

Δ 4h -0.000744%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.593%

Divergence 0.50

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.382

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.35

OI momentum 4h

-0.264%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

-4

Time: 2026-10-12 16:00:00 OI observed: 15:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 16:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290139	fresh	21h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.499	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 12b 0.7ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.56	83%	↓ -0.44	above_value	-0.01	—	#145988	0.71	bull_high	+9.88%	+0.10	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:16	↗
4h #298042	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.593	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 46%	early 2b -0.6ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	1.92	58%	↑ +0.62	below_value	-5.29	—	#149562	0.55	bear_high	-0.73%	+0.16	12/10 12:00 upd 12/10 16:12	↗
1h anchor #298495	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.618	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 2b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.79	49%	↑ +0.41	below_value	-5.61	—	#149806	0.66	range_medium	-0.17%	-0.29	12/10 16:00 upd 12/10 17:09	↗
15m #298432	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.478	compression	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 9b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.76	65%	↔ -0.04	below_value	-5.29	—	#149562	0.53	range_low	-0.07%	-0.20	12/10 16:45 upd 12/10 17:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #195940	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	0s	0.534	0.455	25/81	2026-10-12 17:00	2026-10-12 17:35
4h #195860	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	1h	0.524	0.430	33/80	2026-10-12 16:00	2026-10-12 16:37
1d #193886	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	21h	0.564	0.775	31/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #149724	fresh	2026-10-12 16:45	0s	$10.9067	$11.1120	$10.7015	between	-6.49	6.78
7d #149806	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	0s	$11.2379	$11.6741	$10.6534	between	-5.61	7.91
30d #149643	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	1h	$11.0289	$11.4937	$10.4026	between	-2.52	4.32

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.3756 → $10.4278	0.50%	0.86	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.086250	+1.43
below	$10.5776 → $10.6102	0.31%	0.54	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.063633	-1.05
below	$10.7340 → $10.7862	0.48%	0.86	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.220033	-3.64
below	$11.0729 → $11.1120	0.35%	0.65	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.558900	-9.24

Prix observé : $10.5140. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.7644 → $10.0772	3.15%	2.43	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.436797	+3.39
above	$10.1101 → $10.1760	0.65%	0.51	0.45	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.338017	+2.62
below	$11.6412 → $11.7400	0.85%	0.77	0.57	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.1272	-8.74

Prix observé : $10.5140. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$7.6546 → $7.8971	3.12%	0.96	0.94	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.6169	+10.36
above	$8.0991 → $9.0690	11.30%	3.84	0.92	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.4450	+5.72

Prix observé : $10.5140. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T20:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T20:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}