Observation #31252

← Research Observations / #31252

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.361500

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,682,617

Synced: 10-12 19:01 +1h

← Prev (10-12 17:00) Next (10-12 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2616

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 17:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00010272

Settled at: 2026-10-12 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)17,042,293.60

OI (USD)$6,166,584

Mark price$0.361840

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,845,260

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 17:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.068%

Change 4h -0.994%

Change 24h —

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001460%

Percentile 7d 87.5%

Percentile 30d 67.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.643%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.675

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

-0.056%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1376 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 123 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #294923	fresh	22h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.525	compression	bear_high	47%	noisy_chop 44%	late 37b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.33	21%	↓ -0.64	above_value	+1.26	—	#148117	0.72	bull_high	+9.88%	-0.99	10/10 20:00 upd 12/10 08:24	↗
4h #298173	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.637	compression	bear_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 3b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.66	43%	↑ +0.51	above_value	-1.14	—	#149617	0.62	bear_high	-0.73%	-0.13	12/10 12:00 upd 12/10 16:18	↗
1h anchor #298938	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.459	expansion	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 6b -1.6ATR	—	—	0.95	87%	↑ +0.80	above_value	-1.10	inside	#150028	0.66	bear_medium	-0.80%	-0.33	12/10 17:00 upd 12/10 18:12	↗
15m #298858	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.650	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 38%	late 2b -1.8ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	1.28	84%	↑ +0.34	above_value	-0.84	—	#149862	0.63	range_low	-0.67%	-0.07	12/10 17:45 upd 12/10 18:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #196077	fresh	2026-10-12 17:00	0s	0.462	0.330	65/84	2026-10-12 18:00	2026-10-12 18:37
4h #195915	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	2h	0.452	0.294	68/80	2026-10-12 16:00	2026-10-12 16:39
1d	stale	2026-10-08 20:00	2.9d	—	—	—	—	—

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #149945	fresh	2026-10-12 17:45	0s	$0.368837	$0.374952	$0.365440	lvn LVN	-2.45	3.17
7d #150028	fresh	2026-10-12 17:00	0s	$0.372467	$0.408143	$0.359030	hvn	-1.10	9.13
30d #149698	fresh	2026-10-12 12:00	2h	$0.443186	$0.511578	$0.412698	between	-7.98	10.01

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.359190 → $0.362179	0.83%	1.00	0.96	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.385550 → $0.389626	1.05%	1.36	0.93	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.024050	-8.02

Prix observé : $0.361500. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.345130 → $0.347910	0.80%	0.52	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.013590	+2.53
above	$0.357177 → $0.360883	1.03%	0.69	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000617	+0.11
below	$0.436870 → $0.456330	4.36%	3.62	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.075370	-14.01

Prix observé : $0.361500. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.345130 → $0.363258	5.12%	1.84	0.79	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.386330 → $0.406106	4.99%	2.00	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.024830	-2.51
below	$0.531354 → $0.542890	2.15%	1.17	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.169854	-17.20

Prix observé : $0.361500. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T21:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T21:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}