Observation #31416

← Research Observations / #31416

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.190360

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,678,137

Synced: 10-12 21:01 +1h

← Prev (10-12 19:00) Next (10-12 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0564

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 19:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000338%

Annualized2.96%

Premium-0.00047295

Settled at: 2026-10-12 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)81,574,450.00

OI (USD)$15,565,221

Mark price$0.190810

Funding next0.000193%

Day vol (USD)$2,509,309

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 19:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.188%

Change 4h -0.348%

Change 24h -1.257%

Z-score 7d -0.30

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 79.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -3.263%

Divergence -2.07 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

8.576

OI / Vol z-7d

0.16

OI momentum 4h

+1.707%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+613 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 146 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299972	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.499	normal	range_high	33%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 13b -1.2ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.52	70%	↓ -0.60	below_value	-3.48	—	#150362	0.58	bull_high	+7.21%	-0.64	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:26	↗
4h #299848	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.544	expansion	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 42%	late 7b -2.3ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	2.68	76%	↑ +0.60	below_value	-3.48	—	#150362	0.72	bear_high_confirmed	-1.92%	-0.00	12/10 16:00 upd 12/10 20:21	↗
1h anchor #299842	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.494	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	51%	choppy 52%	late 2b -3.3ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	5.95	99%	↑ +0.48	below_value	-3.48	—	#150362	0.78	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.61%	-0.34	12/10 19:00 upd 12/10 20:20	↗
15m #299657	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.749	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 51%	late 2b -3.2ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.69	82%	↑ +0.92	value	-2.30	—	#150191	0.65	bear_low_confirmed	-1.38%	-0.20	12/10 19:45 upd 12/10 20:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #196242	fresh	2026-10-12 19:00	0s	0.585	0.263	8/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:36
4h #196326	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	0s	0.523	0.305	27/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:39
1d #196410	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	0s	0.339	0.348	65/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #150277	fresh	2026-10-12 19:45	0s	$0.197031	$0.200688	$0.190240	value	-5.87	9.19
7d #150362	fresh	2026-10-12 19:00	0s	$0.197402	$0.204935	$0.192511	between	-3.48	6.14
30d #150447	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	0s	$0.219720	$0.235136	$0.199977	between	-7.63	9.63

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.193606 → $0.194767	0.60%	1.02	0.63	reversion	✓	↓ $0.003246	-2.85
below	$0.197437 → $0.198366	0.47%	0.82	0.47	reversion	—	↓ $0.007077	-6.22
below	$0.199294 → $0.200339	0.52%	0.92	0.68	reversion	✓	↓ $0.008934	-7.86

Prix observé : $0.190360. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.185110 → $0.186960	0.99%	0.91	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003400	+1.68
below	$0.207843 → $0.213658	2.76%	2.87	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.017483	-8.64

Prix observé : $0.190360. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.172390 → $0.184290	6.67%	3.26	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006070	+1.66
below	$0.233514 → $0.237300	1.61%	1.04	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.043154	-11.83

Prix observé : $0.190360. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T23:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T23:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}