Observation #31440

← Research Observations / #31440

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.876890

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,405,090

Synced: 10-12 21:02 +1h

← Prev (10-12 19:00) Next (10-12 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0564

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 19:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00001107

Settled at: 2026-10-12 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,813,158.00

OI (USD)$34,888,947

Mark price$0.876317

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,165,382

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 19:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.013%

Change 4h -0.262%

Change 24h -3.984%

Z-score 7d 0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 69.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.962%

Divergence -1.37

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

7.198

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.03

OI momentum 4h

+1.739%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+666 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #300018	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.615	volatile_reversal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 40%	early 10b 1.0ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.67	86%	↓ -0.27	above_value	+6.42	—	#150385	0.64	bull_high	+7.21%	+0.99	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:29	↗
4h #299944	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.792	normal	bull_high	70%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 9b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.63	56%	↑ +0.20	above_value	+6.42	—	#150385	0.50	bear_high_confirmed	-1.92%	+0.69	12/10 16:00 upd 12/10 20:25	↗
1h anchor #299942	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.538	normal	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 50%	late 3b -2.5ATR	—	—	1.51	77%	↑ +0.17	above_value	+6.42	inside	#150385	0.55	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.61%	-0.36	12/10 19:00 upd 12/10 20:25	↗
15m #299685	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.733	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 46%	late 9b -2.5ATR	—	—	0.56	26%	↔ +0.14	above_value	+6.42	—	#150385	0.33	bear_low_confirmed	-1.38%	-0.11	12/10 19:45 upd 12/10 20:12	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #196264	fresh	2026-10-12 19:00	0s	0.479	0.299	49/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:37
4h #196348	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	0s	0.558	0.611	13/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:39
1d #196432	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	0s	0.586	0.781	20/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #150300	fresh	2026-10-12 19:45	0s	$0.904049	$0.923351	$0.884747	lvn LVN	-4.62	6.56
7d #150385	fresh	2026-10-12 19:00	0s	$0.796460	$0.924232	$0.767120	lvn LVN	6.42	12.35
30d #150470	fresh	2026-10-12 16:00	0s	$0.796909	$0.994270	$0.735110	value	2.82	8.75

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.874650 → $0.885340	1.21%	1.82	0.68	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.922757 → $0.928102	0.58%	0.91	0.78	reversion	✓	↓ $0.045867	-7.80

Prix observé : $0.876890. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.854194 → $0.886374	3.70%	2.53	0.79	reversion	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.979127 → $0.994270	1.53%	1.19	0.57	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.102237	-8.04

Prix observé : $0.876890. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.587587 → $0.631445	7.20%	1.48	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.245445	+8.29
above	$0.735110 → $0.763019	3.73%	0.94	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.113871	+3.84
below	$0.974335 → $0.994270	2.03%	0.67	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.097445	-3.29

Prix observé : $0.876890. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T23:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T23:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}