Observation #31707

← Research Observations / #31707

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-13 00:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

23:00–00:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

00:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

01:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$10.4590

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $11,770,268

Synced: 10-13 01:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-12 23:00) Next (10-13 01:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5741

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 23:46:15 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00024072

Settled at: 2026-10-13 00:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,632,082.52

OI (USD)$27,550,008

Mark price$10.4670

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$11,488,200

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 23:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.423%

Change 4h -5.474%

Change 24h -4.678%

Z-score 7d -0.22

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000243%

Avg 24h 0.000348%

Percentile 7d 30.4%

Percentile 30d 17.2%

Δ 4h +0.002423%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +3.156%

Divergence 3.35 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.522

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.59

OI momentum 4h

-6.041%

Funding +ratio 24h

60.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-12 23:00:00 OI observed: 22:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 23:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299767	fresh	4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.598	normal	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 34%	early 13b -0.4ATR	near -1.8ATR	—	0.55	81%	↓ -0.40	below_value	-7.86	—	#150309	0.71	bull_high	+7.21%	-0.52	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:16	↗
4h #301510	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.658	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 44%	early 4b -0.5ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	3.40	81%	↑ +0.79	below_value	-4.68	—	#151080	0.57	range_high	-0.14%	+0.20	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 00:12	↗
1h anchor #301509	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.247	volatile_reversal	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 3b -0.2ATR	—	near -0.8ATR	1.46	84%	↑ +0.55	below_value	-4.68	—	#151080	0.67	range_medium	+0.24%	-0.43	12/10 23:00 upd 13/10 00:12	↗
15m #301432	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.404	normal	range_medium	46%	noisy_chop 53%	late 12b 1.8ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.44	70%	↓ -0.37	below_value	-5.18	—	#150908	0.62	range_low	+0.59%	+0.03	12/10 23:45 upd 13/10 00:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #196696	fresh	2026-10-12 23:00	0s	0.624	0.522	10/85	2026-10-13 00:00	2026-10-13 00:35
4h #196781	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	0s	0.629	0.537	15/85	2026-10-13 00:00	2026-10-13 00:37
1d #196357	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	4h	0.430	0.530	33/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #150994	fresh	2026-10-12 23:45	0s	$11.0301	$11.1120	$10.1947	hvn	-7.32	11.76
7d #151080	fresh	2026-10-12 23:00	0s	$11.2379	$11.6741	$10.5217	between	-4.68	6.92
30d #151166	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	0s	$11.0289	$11.4937	$10.3622	value	-2.14	3.88

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.8015 → $9.8779	0.78%	0.98	0.47	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.581054	+7.45
below	$10.5769 → $10.6533	0.72%	0.98	0.50	reversion	—	↓ $0.117879	-1.51
below	$10.7298 → $10.8281	0.91%	1.26	0.65	reversion	✓	↓ $0.270771	-3.47
below	$11.0683 → $11.1120	0.39%	0.56	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.609317	-7.81

Prix observé : $10.4590. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.7644 → $9.9949	2.33%	1.38	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.464113	+2.79
below	$11.6248 → $11.7400	0.99%	0.69	0.54	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.1658	-7.00

Prix observé : $10.4590. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$7.6546 → $7.8971	3.12%	0.83	0.94	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.5619	+8.79
above	$8.0991 → $9.0690	11.30%	3.33	0.92	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.3900	+4.77

Prix observé : $10.4590. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T03:46:15+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 825,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T03:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}