Observation #31797

← Research Observations / #31797

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-13 01:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

00:00–01:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

01:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

02:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.187110

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $17,440,807

Synced: 10-13 02:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-13 00:00) Next (10-13 02:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7639

evaluated_at: 2026-10-13 00:46:14 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000677%

Annualized5.93%

Premium-0.00044582

Settled at: 2026-10-13 01:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)113,542,299.20

OI (USD)$21,285,775

Mark price$0.187470

Funding next0.000691%

Day vol (USD)$17,531,329

Snapshot at: 2026-10-13 00:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.916%

Change 4h -0.479%

Change 24h +11.752%

Z-score 7d 0.79

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000165%

Avg 24h -0.000599%

Percentile 7d 45.8%

Percentile 30d 11.5%

Δ 4h +0.003401%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +6.035%

Divergence 2.71 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.195

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.16

OI momentum 4h

+1.499%

Funding +ratio 24h

48.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-13 00:00:00 OI observed: 23:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 00:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299783	fresh	5h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.567	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 41%	early 19b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.85	85%	↓ -0.58	value	-2.07	—	#150313	0.58	bull_high	+7.21%	-0.98	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:17	↗
4h #301520	fresh	1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.383	expansion	bear_high	66%	noisy_chop 43%	early 10b -0.5ATR	—	—	1.63	58%	↑ +0.69	above_value	+0.12	—	#151084	0.39	range_high	-0.14%	+0.30	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 00:13	↗
1h anchor #302001	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.252	volatile_reversal	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 47%	late 4b 0.1ATR	—	near -0.7ATR	0.21	24%	↔ +0.05	above_value	+0.38	—	#151342	0.70	range_medium	+0.37%	-0.35	13/10 00:00 upd 13/10 01:09	↗
15m #301930	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.565	compression	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 52%	late 18b 2.4ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.29	19%	↓ -0.61	above_value	+0.12	—	#151084	0.49	range_low	+0.69%	+0.22	13/10 00:45 upd 13/10 01:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #196870	fresh	2026-10-13 00:00	0s	0.542	0.526	47/85	2026-10-13 01:00	2026-10-13 01:35
4h #196785	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	1h	0.584	0.562	32/85	2026-10-13 00:00	2026-10-13 00:37
1d #196361	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	5h	0.360	0.402	57/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #151256	fresh	2026-10-13 00:45	0s	$0.188550	$0.192167	$0.182040	value	-1.02	7.18
7d #151342	fresh	2026-10-13 00:00	0s	$0.185885	$0.197986	$0.177241	hvn	0.38	6.47
30d #151170	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	1h	$0.218049	$0.248722	$0.186337	between	-5.15	9.73

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.173980 → $0.176667	1.53%	1.91	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.010443	+7.41
above	$0.177287 → $0.178527	0.70%	0.88	0.54	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.008583	+6.09
below	$0.195473 → $0.198780	1.68%	2.35	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.008363	-5.93

Prix observé : $0.187110. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.164948	2.12%	1.08	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.022162	+6.91
above	$0.169557 → $0.171478	1.13%	0.60	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.015632	+4.88
below	$0.203748 → $0.207590	1.87%	1.20	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.016638	-5.19

Prix observé : $0.187110. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.142667 → $0.148906	4.28%	0.97	0.56	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.038204	+5.96
below	$0.189456 → $0.194655	2.71%	0.81	0.54	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.002346	-0.37
below	$0.242483 → $0.256000	5.42%	2.11	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.055373	-8.64

Prix observé : $0.187110. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T04:46:14+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 826,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T04:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}