Observation #31945

← Research Observations / #31945

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-13 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.083811

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $19,727,203

Synced: 10-13 03:02 +1h

← Prev (10-13 01:00) Next (10-13 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7685

evaluated_at: 2026-10-13 01:46:15 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000739%

Annualized-6.48%

Premium-0.00055916

Settled at: 2026-10-13 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)610,430,932.00

OI (USD)$51,093,069

Mark price$0.083700

Funding next-0.001050%

Day vol (USD)$19,621,027

Snapshot at: 2026-10-13 01:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.356%

Change 4h -1.441%

Change 24h -8.903%

Z-score 7d -0.23

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001703%

Avg 24h -0.000324%

Percentile 7d 3.6% bottom

Percentile 30d 1.1%

Δ 4h +0.001927%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +4.662%

Divergence 3.35 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.637

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.95

OI momentum 4h

+3.484%

Funding +ratio 24h

52.0%

Sign streak

-8 crowded

Time: 2026-10-13 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #300002	fresh	6h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.633	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 39%	late 17b -1.6ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.40	63%	↓ -0.87	below_value	-5.41	—	#150377	0.54	bull_high	+7.21%	-0.86	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:28	↗
4h #301689	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.638	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 38%	late 8b -1.7ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	4.44	80%	↑ +0.71	value	-3.69	—	#151148	0.53	range_high	-0.14%	-0.25	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 00:20	↗
1h anchor #302460	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.251	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 48%	late 5b 0.3ATR	—	near -0.9ATR	0.63	76%	↑ +0.57	value	-2.29	—	#151576	0.67	range_medium	+0.63%	-0.37	13/10 01:00 upd 13/10 02:13	↗
15m #302376	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.571	compression	range_high	45%	choppy 56%	late 22b 3.1ATR	—	near 0.5ATR	0.19	37%	↓ -0.34	value	-2.95	—	#151406	0.64	bull_low	+0.88%	+0.42	13/10 01:45 upd 13/10 02:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #197017	fresh	2026-10-13 01:00	0s	0.572	0.481	22/84	2026-10-13 02:00	2026-10-13 02:37
4h #196848	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	2h	0.560	0.336	41/85	2026-10-13 00:00	2026-10-13 00:39
1d #196424	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	6h	0.230	0.209	83/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #151491	fresh	2026-10-13 01:45	0s	$0.083680	$0.084829	$0.079434	hvn	0.20	8.14
7d #151576	fresh	2026-10-13 01:00	0s	$0.086885	$0.088873	$0.081334	value	-2.29	5.19
30d #151234	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	2h	$0.096419	$0.107294	$0.079390	value	-6.10	11.18

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076536 → $0.077835	1.68%	1.96	0.42	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.005976	+9.01
below	$0.084829 → $0.085828	1.17%	1.51	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001018	-1.54
below	$0.086827 → $0.088526	1.94%	2.56	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.003016	-4.55

Prix observé : $0.083811. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076536 → $0.079552	3.86%	2.07	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004259	+2.93
below	$0.090106 → $0.090929	0.91%	0.57	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006295	-4.33

Prix observé : $0.083811. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076517 → $0.079800	4.20%	1.32	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004011	+1.61
below	$0.117142 → $0.125760	7.10%	3.45	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.033331	-13.36

Prix observé : $0.083811. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T05:46:15+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 825,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T05:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}