Observation #3261

← Research Observations / #3261

🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MORPHO

Market snapshot at

2026-09-27 14:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

13:00–14:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

14:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

15:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.6872

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,129,551

Synced: 09-27 15:01 +1h

← Prev (09-27 13:00) Next (09-27 15:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.404

evaluated_at: 2026-09-27 13:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.002951%

Annualized25.85%

Premium0.00073606

Settled at: 2026-09-27 14:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,782,603.20

OI (USD)$7,478,246

Mark price$2.6875

Funding next0.003098%

Day vol (USD)$1,477,653

Snapshot at: 2026-09-27 13:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.491%

Change 4h -0.132%

Change 24h +2.239%

Z-score 7d 0.12

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.002447%

Percentile 7d 68.5%

Percentile 30d 92.1%

Δ 4h -0.007785%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.115%

Divergence 0.05

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.902

OI / Vol z-7d

3.76 extrême

OI momentum 4h

-2.166%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+464 crowded

Time: 2026-09-27 13:00:00 OI observed: 12:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 13:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #146498	fresh	18h	↑ up	range	range	weak	fading	0.443	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	54%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 10b 1.0ATR	—	—	0.87	79%	↑ +0.52	above_value	-0.11	—	#83777	0.51	bull_high	+14.90%	-0.06	25/09 20:00 upd 26/09 20:22	↗
4h #153116	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.673	compression	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 36%	early 13b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.49	65%	↓ -0.70	value	-1.67	—	#86695	0.38	bull_high	+3.30%	-0.25	27/09 08:00 upd 27/09 12:18	↗
1h anchor #153890	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.543	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 9b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.62	20%	↑ +0.40	value	-1.25	—	#87092	0.32	range_low	+0.38%	-0.14	27/09 13:00 upd 27/09 14:12	↗
15m #153811	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.500	compression	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 31%	early 8b -0.3ATR	near 0.4ATR	near -0.6ATR	0.03	1%	↓ -0.72	value	-1.29	—	#86937	0.47	range_low	+0.09%	-0.07	27/09 13:45 upd 27/09 14:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #160159	fresh	2026-09-27 13:00	0s	0.449	0.417	74/77	2026-09-27 14:00	2026-09-27 14:36
4h #160001	fresh	2026-09-27 08:00	2h	0.442	0.459	71/81	2026-09-27 12:00	2026-09-27 12:39
1d #158380	fresh	2026-09-25 20:00	18h	0.574	0.781	62/82	2026-09-26 20:00	2026-09-26 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #87015	fresh	2026-09-27 13:45	0s	$2.6838	$2.7348	$2.6579	hvn	0.26	5.79
7d #87092	fresh	2026-09-27 13:00	0s	$2.7342	$2.8781	$2.6568	value	-1.25	6.16
30d #86777	fresh	2026-09-27 08:00	2h	$2.7193	$2.8340	$2.3990	value	-0.45	4.68

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.6491 → $2.6592	0.38%	0.76	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.028013	+2.11
below	$2.7752 → $2.8004	0.90%	1.90	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.087983	-6.62

Prix observé : $2.6872. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.4532 → $2.5506	3.89%	2.71	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.136632	+3.80
below	$2.9489 → $2.9843	1.19%	0.99	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.261693	-7.29

Prix observé : $2.6872. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2.8736 → $2.9843	3.78%	1.19	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.186360	-2.00

Prix observé : $2.6872. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-27T17:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-27T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-27T17:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-27T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}