Observation #32720

← Research Observations / #32720

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-13 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,401.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,166,820,183

Synced: 10-13 13:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-13 11:00) Next (10-13 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5509

evaluated_at: 2026-10-13 11:46:18 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001048%

Annualized9.18%

Premium-0.00041614

Settled at: 2026-10-13 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,372.84

OI (USD)$3,198,721,578

Mark price$83,359.00

Funding next0.001007%

Day vol (USD)$3,163,756,756

Snapshot at: 2026-10-13 11:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.339%

Change 4h -0.387%

Change 24h +0.691%

Z-score 7d 0.49

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000963%

Avg 24h 0.000548%

Percentile 7d 52.4%

Percentile 30d 26.9%

Δ 4h +0.000882%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.096%

Divergence 0.48

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.026

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.89

OI momentum 4h

-1.761%

Funding +ratio 24h

80.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-13 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299751	fresh	16h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.618	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 21b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.06	57%	↓ -0.25	below_value	-2.81	—	#150305	—	—	—	—	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:15	↗
4h #306573	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.616	expansion	range_high	37%	noisy_chop 35%	early 3b 0.3ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	1.37	71%	↑ +0.76	above_value	+1.03	—	#153202	—	—	—	—	13/10 08:00 upd 13/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #306572	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	grind	0.737	expansion	range_medium	42%	noisy_chop 42%	early 7b 0.7ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.25	22%	↓ -0.42	above_value	+1.03	—	#153202	—	—	—	—	13/10 11:00 upd 13/10 12:05	↗
15m #306505	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.614	expansion	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 31%	early 8b -0.1ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.98	65%	↔ -0.01	above_value	+1.03	—	#153202	—	—	—	—	13/10 11:45 upd 13/10 12:00	↗
5m #306504	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.641	compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 42%	early 21b -0.4ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.94	44%	↔ +0.12	above_value	+1.03	—	#153202	—	—	—	—	13/10 11:55 upd 13/10 12:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #197953	fresh	2026-10-13 11:00	0s	0.510	0.519	24/82	2026-10-13 12:00	2026-10-13 12:35
4h #198035	fresh	2026-10-13 08:00	0s	0.579	0.502	12/82	2026-10-13 12:00	2026-10-13 12:37
1d #196353	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	16h	0.529	0.494	23/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #153286	fresh	2026-10-13 11:45	0s	$83,676.10	$83,898.03	$82,409.85	hvn	-1.04	5.63
7d #153369	fresh	2026-10-13 11:00	0s	$82,973.00	$84,044.60	$82,220.60	hvn	0.85	3.63
30d #153452	fresh	2026-10-13 08:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,605.93	hvn	-0.67	6.51

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,000.00 → $81,261.08	0.32%	0.99	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,139.92	+8.10
above	$82,148.77 → $82,305.42	0.19%	0.59	0.48	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,095.58	+4.14
below	$83,924.13 → $84,133.00	0.25%	0.79	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $523.13	-1.98

Prix observé : $83,401.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,715.80	0.45%	0.73	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,685.20	+5.34
below	$84,409.40 → $85,412.60	1.18%	1.99	0.90	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,008.40	-2.00

Prix observé : $83,401.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.50	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,079.07	+9.65
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	2.50	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,947.13	+3.52
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.63	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,546.33	-4.24

Prix observé : $83,401.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	12:05	12:20	+0.03%	+0.05×	+0.08×	-0.14×	15m	5m	Low first	0.23	0.00%	+0.03%	26.63%	0.13%	$25.21M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	12:05	13:05	-0.26%	-0.45×	+0.25×	-0.49×	20m	1h	High first	0.38	0.00%	-0.26%	21.82%	0.43%	$76.40M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	12:05	16:05	-0.24%	-0.42×	+0.25×	-1.10×	20m	1h50m	High first	0.10	0.00%	-0.24%	21.29%	0.78%	$300.38M	— / —	13:50 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	12:05	00:05	+0.22%	+0.38×	+1.03×	-1.10×	11h35m	1h50m	Low first	0.03	0.00%	+0.22%	23.37%	1.24%	$795.70M	23:35 / —	13:50 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	12:05	12:05	-2.17%	-3.75×	+1.33×	-3.92×	16h10m	23h55m	High first	0.10	0.00%	-2.17%	39.66%	3.05%	$2.74B	23:35 / —	13:50 / 09:10	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T15:46:18+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 822,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T15:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}