Observation #32883

← Research Observations / #32883

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-13 14:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

13:00–14:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

14:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

15:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,067.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,239,712,123

Synced: 10-13 15:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-13 13:00) Next (10-13 15:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5411

evaluated_at: 2026-10-13 13:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00037233

Settled at: 2026-10-13 14:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,457.16

OI (USD)$3,190,983,007

Mark price$82,975.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,206,102,538

Snapshot at: 2026-10-13 13:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.585%

Change 4h +0.621%

Change 24h +1.410%

Z-score 7d 0.82

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000541%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h +0.000408%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.201%

Divergence -0.75

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.024

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.88

OI momentum 4h

+1.821%

Funding +ratio 24h

80.0%

Sign streak

+8 crowded

Time: 2026-10-13 13:00:00 OI observed: 12:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 13:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299751	fresh	18h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.618	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 21b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.06	57%	↓ -0.25	below_value	-2.81	—	#150305	—	—	—	—	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:15	↗
4h #306573	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.616	expansion	range_high	37%	noisy_chop 35%	early 3b 0.3ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	1.37	71%	↑ +0.76	above_value	+1.03	—	#153202	—	—	—	—	13/10 08:00 upd 13/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #307453	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.706	normal	range_medium	41%	noisy_chop 43%	early 9b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.41	42%	↓ -0.46	above_value	+0.77	—	#153618	—	—	—	—	13/10 13:00 upd 13/10 14:05	↗
15m #307386	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.596	compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 33%	mid 6b -1.4ATR	—	—	1.65	88%	↓ -0.30	above_value	+0.77	—	#153618	—	—	—	—	13/10 13:45 upd 13/10 14:00	↗
5m #307385	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.428	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 43%	late 19b -1.9ATR	—	—	1.10	59%	↑ +0.32	above_value	+0.77	—	#153618	—	—	—	—	13/10 13:55 upd 13/10 14:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #198199	fresh	2026-10-13 13:00	0s	0.501	0.502	21/80	2026-10-13 14:00	2026-10-13 14:35
4h #198035	fresh	2026-10-13 08:00	2h	0.579	0.502	12/82	2026-10-13 12:00	2026-10-13 12:37
1d #196353	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	18h	0.529	0.494	23/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #153700	fresh	2026-10-13 13:45	0s	$83,545.56	$83,924.13	$82,462.07	value	-2.20	6.71
7d #153781	fresh	2026-10-13 13:00	0s	$82,995.28	$83,995.22	$82,217.55	hvn	0.15	3.71
30d #153452	fresh	2026-10-13 08:00	2h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,605.93	hvn	-0.67	6.51

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,000.00 → $81,261.08	0.32%	1.20	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,805.92	+8.28
above	$81,574.38 → $81,704.93	0.16%	0.60	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,362.08	+6.25
above	$82,174.88 → $82,357.63	0.22%	0.84	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $709.37	+3.25
below	$83,924.13 → $84,133.00	0.25%	0.96	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $857.13	-3.93

Prix observé : $83,067.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,706.53	0.44%	0.74	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,360.47	+4.92
below	$84,439.63 → $85,417.35	1.15%	2.04	0.91	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,372.63	-2.86

Prix observé : $83,067.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.50	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,745.07	+9.25
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	2.50	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,613.13	+3.12
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.63	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,880.33	-4.64

Prix observé : $83,067.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	14:05	14:20	+0.07%	+0.13×	+0.49×	0.00×	5m	5m	High first	0.82	0.00%	+0.07%	19.84%	0.28%	$18.54M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	14:05	15:05	+0.18%	+0.32×	+0.49×	-0.29×	5m	35m	High first	0.32	0.00%	+0.18%	22.62%	0.45%	$68.53M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	14:05	18:05	+0.34%	+0.60×	+0.89×	-0.29×	3h45m	35m	Low first	0.15	0.00%	+0.34%	20.68%	0.67%	$259.46M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	14:05	02:05	+0.32%	+0.57×	+1.82×	-0.29×	9h35m	35m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	+0.32%	23.47%	1.20%	$691.80M	20:35 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	14:05	14:05	-1.82%	-3.20×	+2.13×	-3.40×	14h10m	23h50m	High first	0.08	0.00%	-1.82%	40.11%	3.14%	$2.87B	20:35 / 04:05	08:40 / 10:05	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T17:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T17:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}