Observation #33046

← Research Observations / #33046

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-13 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,270.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,099,416,304

Synced: 10-13 17:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-13 15:00) Next (10-13 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.75

evaluated_at: 2026-10-13 15:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00035731

Settled at: 2026-10-13 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,326.41

OI (USD)$3,189,485,527

Mark price$83,219.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,210,921,770

Snapshot at: 2026-10-13 15:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.310%

Change 4h -0.195%

Change 24h +0.718%

Z-score 7d -0.38

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000616%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h +0.000287%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.157%

Divergence -0.08

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.984

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.90

OI momentum 4h

+0.192%

Funding +ratio 24h

80.0%

Sign streak

+10 crowded

Time: 2026-10-13 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #299751	fresh	20h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.618	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 21b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.06	57%	↓ -0.25	below_value	-2.81	—	#150305	—	—	—	—	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 20:15	↗
4h #308240	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.482	volatile_reversal	range_high	31%	noisy_chop 33%	early 4b 0.0ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	0.81	46%	↑ +0.65	above_value	+0.29	—	#153943	—	—	—	—	13/10 12:00 upd 13/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #308239	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	grind	0.735	normal	range_medium	42%	noisy_chop 44%	early 11b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.24	19%	↓ -0.54	above_value	+0.29	—	#153943	—	—	—	—	13/10 15:00 upd 13/10 16:05	↗
15m #308170	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.341	compression	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 38%	early 7b 0.2ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	0.45	17%	↓ -0.33	above_value	+0.29	—	#153943	—	—	—	—	13/10 15:45 upd 13/10 16:00	↗
5m #308169	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.569	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 48%	mid 16b 1.2ATR	—	near -1.0ATR	0.46	11%	↓ -0.46	above_value	+0.29	—	#153943	—	—	—	—	13/10 15:55 upd 13/10 16:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #198359	fresh	2026-10-13 15:00	0s	0.471	0.510	54/81	2026-10-13 16:00	2026-10-13 16:35
4h #198440	fresh	2026-10-13 12:00	0s	0.541	0.498	23/81	2026-10-13 16:00	2026-10-13 16:37
1d #196353	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	20h	0.529	0.494	23/84	2026-10-12 20:00	2026-10-12 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #154024	fresh	2026-10-13 15:45	0s	$83,545.56	$83,924.13	$82,514.28	hvn	-1.48	7.56
7d #154105	fresh	2026-10-13 15:00	0s	$82,984.87	$83,980.87	$82,254.47	hvn	0.63	3.84
30d #154186	fresh	2026-10-13 12:00	0s	$83,857.70	$87,052.07	$81,605.93	hvn	-0.79	6.61

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,000.00 → $81,261.08	0.32%	1.40	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,008.92	+10.77
above	$81,574.38 → $81,704.93	0.16%	0.70	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,565.08	+8.39
above	$82,200.98 → $82,409.85	0.25%	1.12	0.57	continuation_down	✓	↑ $860.15	+4.61
below	$83,950.24 → $84,133.00	0.22%	0.98	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $680.24	-3.65

Prix observé : $83,270.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,705.13	0.44%	0.79	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,564.87	+5.71
below	$84,423.53 → $85,441.67	1.20%	2.27	0.91	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,153.53	-2.57

Prix observé : $83,270.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.51	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,948.07	+9.65
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	2.54	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,816.13	+3.42
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.64	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,677.33	-4.46

Prix observé : $83,270.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	16:05	16:20	-0.05%	-0.10×	+0.10×	-0.12×	10m	15m	High first	0.63	0.00%	-0.05%	4.95%	0.12%	$4.37M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	16:05	17:05	+0.17%	+0.32×	+0.36×	-0.27×	55m	30m	Low first	0.37	0.00%	+0.17%	20.92%	0.33%	$85.51M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	16:05	20:05	-0.08%	-0.15×	+0.60×	-0.38×	1h45m	3h55m	High first	0.03	0.00%	-0.08%	23.27%	0.51%	$241.97M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	16:05	04:05	+0.55%	+1.06×	+1.61×	-0.38×	7h35m	3h55m	Low first	0.07	0.00%	+0.55%	24.15%	1.04%	$691.74M	23:05 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	16:05	16:05	-1.71%	-3.25×	+1.94×	-4.03×	12h10m	21h50m	High first	0.08	0.00%	-1.71%	40.57%	3.13%	$2.94B	23:05 / —	08:30 / 09:15	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T19:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T19:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-13T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}