Observation #33581

← Research Observations / #33581

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-13 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.906610

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,680,039

Synced: 10-13 23:02 +1h

← Prev (10-13 21:00) Next (10-13 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.492

evaluated_at: 2026-10-13 21:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00000749

Settled at: 2026-10-13 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,618,430.00

OI (USD)$35,954,121

Mark price$0.907510

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,616,898

Snapshot at: 2026-10-13 21:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.366%

Change 4h +0.385%

Change 24h -1.188%

Z-score 7d 0.56

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001159%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 69.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.619%

Divergence -0.14

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

7.861

OI / Vol z-7d

0.67

OI momentum 4h

+0.356%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+8 crowded

Time: 2026-10-13 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:50:06 (10min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #310153	fresh	2h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.620	expansion	bull_high	71%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 11b 1.3ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	0.69	85%	↓ -0.25	above_value	-0.07	inside	#154900	0.64	bull_high	+8.74%	+1.00	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:27	↗
4h #310063	fresh	2h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.663	normal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 36%	early 5b 0.2ATR	—	—	0.18	14%	↓ -0.59	above_value	-0.07	—	#154900	0.49	range_high	-0.33%	-0.15	13/10 16:00 upd 13/10 20:22	↗
1h anchor #310763	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.681	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 36%	early 10b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.44	21%	↔ +0.00	above_value	+0.44	—	#155281	—	range_medium	+0.10%	+0.11	13/10 21:00 upd 13/10 22:12	↗
15m #310686	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.602	normal	bull_medium	62%	noisy_chop 36%	early 4b 0.4ATR	near 0.4ATR	near -0.6ATR	0.31	9%	↑ +0.61	above_value	+0.27	—	#155129	0.47	range_low	+0.01%	+0.05	13/10 21:45 upd 13/10 22:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #199133	fresh	2026-10-13 21:00	0s	0.498	0.514	27/75	2026-10-13 22:00	2026-10-13 22:37
4h #198906	fresh	2026-10-13 16:00	2h	0.551	0.633	14/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:39
1d #198982	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	2h	0.600	0.841	17/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #155205	fresh	2026-10-13 21:45	0s	$0.905238	$0.906965	$0.887402	value	0.27	3.91
7d #155281	fresh	2026-10-13 21:00	0s	$0.902464	$0.994270	$0.818229	hvn	0.44	14.48
30d #154977	fresh	2026-10-13 16:00	2h	$0.796909	$0.990283	$0.763019	value	3.60	7.89

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.877812 → $0.880497	0.31%	0.54	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.026113	+5.22
below	$0.913486 → $0.920390	0.75%	1.38	0.91	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006876	-1.37

Prix observé : $0.906610. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.852301 → $0.882588	3.49%	2.49	0.68	reversion	✓	↑ $0.024022	+1.98
below	$0.979127 → $0.994270	1.53%	1.25	0.60	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.072517	-5.96

Prix observé : $0.906610. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.555691 → $0.571639	2.83%	0.55	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.334971	+11.63
above	$0.587587 → $0.631445	7.20%	1.52	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.275165	+9.55
above	$0.735110 → $0.763019	3.73%	0.97	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.143591	+4.99
below	$0.974335 → $0.994270	2.03%	0.69	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.067725	-2.35

Prix observé : $0.906610. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T01:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T01:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}