Observation #33813

← Research Observations / #33813

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-14 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$10.1900

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $7,275,310

Synced: 10-14 03:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-14 01:00) Next (10-14 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.306

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 01:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000747%

Annualized-6.54%

Premium-0.00055975

Settled at: 2026-10-14 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,435,674.00

OI (USD)$24,778,112

Mark price$10.1730

Funding next-0.000701%

Day vol (USD)$7,339,834

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 01:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.211%

Change 4h +0.248%

Change 24h -8.109%

Z-score 7d 0.47

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000794%

Avg 24h 0.000074%

Percentile 7d 47.6%

Percentile 30d 20.3%

Δ 4h +0.000131%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.135%

Divergence -1.03

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.238

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.35

OI momentum 4h

+0.393%

Funding +ratio 24h

68.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-14 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #309948	fresh	6h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.603	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 32%	early 14b -0.3ATR	near -1.6ATR	—	0.80	88%	↓ -0.32	below_value	-6.70	—	#154832	0.71	bull_high	+8.74%	+0.10	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:16	↗
4h #311429	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.421	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early 6b -0.6ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.32	20%	↔ +0.10	above_value	+0.15	—	#155513	0.57	range_high	+0.30%	-0.23	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 00:12	↗
1h anchor #312223	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	weak	grind	0.536	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 30%	mid 5b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.58	36%	↓ -0.68	above_value	-0.88	—	#155885	0.68	range_medium	+0.24%	-0.10	14/10 01:00 upd 14/10 02:09	↗
15m #312156	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.506	expansion	bear_medium	58%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 5b -2.0ATR	near -1.7ATR	—	3.42	74%	↑ +0.60	above_value	+0.41	—	#155737	0.71	range_low	+0.09%	-0.12	14/10 01:45 upd 14/10 02:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #199437	fresh	2026-10-14 01:00	0s	0.401	0.395	55/73	2026-10-14 02:00	2026-10-14 02:35
4h #199289	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	2h	0.492	0.471	37/74	2026-10-14 00:00	2026-10-14 00:37
1d #198915	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	6h	0.464	0.612	37/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #155811	fresh	2026-10-14 01:45	0s	$10.1958	$10.2893	$10.1573	hvn	-0.12	2.81
7d #155885	fresh	2026-10-14 01:00	0s	$10.2924	$10.9849	$9.9290	hvn	-0.88	9.04
30d #155588	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	2h	$11.0289	$11.4937	$10.3622	between	-2.76	4.38

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$10.4690 → $10.5570	0.84%	1.88	0.93	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.279000	-5.94

Prix observé : $10.1900. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.7644 → $9.9975	2.36%	2.00	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.192473	+1.65
below	$11.3414 → $11.4100	0.60%	0.59	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.1514	-9.85

Prix observé : $10.1900. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$7.6546 → $7.8971	3.12%	0.94	0.94	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.2929	+8.88
above	$8.0991 → $9.0690	11.30%	3.76	0.92	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.1210	+4.34

Prix observé : $10.1900. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T05:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T05:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}