Observation #33932

← Research Observations / #33932

🪙 PENGU page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENGU

Market snapshot at

2026-10-14 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.007773

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,948,448

Synced: 10-14 04:02 +1h

← Prev (10-14 02:00) Next (10-14 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENGU — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1389

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 02:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.003641%

Annualized-31.90%

Premium-0.00079131

Settled at: 2026-10-14 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,323,971,902.00

OI (USD)$10,285,938

Mark price$0.007769

Funding next-0.003634%

Day vol (USD)$1,958,009

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.206%

Change 4h +10.022%

Change 24h +11.152%

Z-score 7d 0.11

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.005663%

Avg 24h -0.002558%

Percentile 7d 3.0% bottom

Percentile 30d 0.7%

Δ 4h -0.003840%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.829%

Divergence -2.32 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.759

OI / Vol z-7d

2.08 extrême

OI momentum 4h

+9.746%

Funding +ratio 24h

0.0%

Sign streak

-55 crowded

Time: 2026-10-14 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #310117	fresh	7h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.626	compression	bear_high	47%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 20b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.73	70%	↓ -0.38	above_value	-5.39	—	#154882	0.73	bull_high	+8.74%	-0.97	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:25	↗
4h #311534	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.520	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	early 6b -0.7ATR	near -0.9ATR	—	0.91	62%	↑ +0.19	above_value	-5.40	—	#155562	0.63	range_high	+0.30%	-0.58	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 00:16	↗
1h anchor #312631	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.376	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 28%	early 6b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.35	9%	↓ -0.23	value	-6.61	—	#156079	0.72	range_medium	+0.20%	+0.02	14/10 02:00 upd 14/10 03:10	↗
15m #312562	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.499	compression	range_medium	38%	noisy_chop 39%	early 10b -0.9ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.58	22%	↓ -0.28	above_value	-6.11	—	#155933	0.69	range_low	+0.04%	-0.06	14/10 02:45 upd 14/10 03:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #199557	fresh	2026-10-14 02:00	0s	0.423	0.432	50/72	2026-10-14 03:00	2026-10-14 03:36
4h #199338	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	3h	0.454	0.302	60/74	2026-10-14 00:00	2026-10-14 00:38
1d #198965	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	7h	0.379	0.422	61/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #156006	fresh	2026-10-14 02:45	0s	$0.007820	$0.007868	$0.007763	value	-1.36	3.03
7d #156079	fresh	2026-10-14 02:00	0s	$0.008336	$0.008397	$0.007702	value	-6.61	8.17
30d #155637	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	3h	$0.009765	$0.010497	$0.008619	between	-8.60	8.29

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007624 → $0.007662	0.49%	1.09	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000111	+3.20
below	$0.007888 → $0.007908	0.26%	0.59	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000115	-3.39
below	$0.007955 → $0.007972	0.22%	0.51	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000182	-5.41

Prix observé : $0.007773. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007307 → $0.007539	3.12%	2.72	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000234	+2.75
below	$0.008738 → $0.008942	2.31%	2.40	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000965	-11.36

Prix observé : $0.007773. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.006666 → $0.007567	12.67%	3.98	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000206	+0.91
below	$0.010948 → $0.011173	2.04%	1.00	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.003175	-14.04

Prix observé : $0.007773. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T06:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}