Observation #33937

← Research Observations / #33937

🪙 NIL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 NIL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-14 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.079091

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,311,530

Synced: 10-14 04:02 +1h

← Prev (10-14 02:00) Next (10-14 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · NIL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1389

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 02:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00001341

Settled at: 2026-10-14 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)85,906,510.00

OI (USD)$6,794,604

Mark price$0.079093

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,001,917

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.007%

Change 4h +0.137%

Change 24h +11.169%

Z-score 7d -0.05

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 85.1%

Percentile 30d 74.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.687%

Divergence 0.38

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.304

OI / Vol z-7d

0.08

OI momentum 4h

-1.669%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1090 crowded

Time: 2026-10-14 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #310131	fresh	7h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.598	normal	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 39%	early 8b -0.4ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.51	88%	↓ -0.66	below_value	-4.73	—	#154889	0.30	bull_high	+8.74%	-1.00	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:26	↗
4h #311549	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.378	normal	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 44%	early 3b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.19	30%	↓ -0.30	below_value	-5.27	—	#155567	0.13	range_high	+0.30%	-0.75	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 00:17	↗
1h anchor #312636	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.436	compression	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 44%	late 18b 1.0ATR	—	—	0.24	11%	↓ -0.80	below_value	-4.91	inside	#156084	0.21	range_medium	+0.20%	+0.66	14/10 02:00 upd 14/10 03:10	↗
15m #312565	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	weak	grind	0.545	normal	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 39%	early 7b 1.3ATR	—	near -1.3ATR	0.72	20%	↓ -0.20	below_value	-5.16	—	#155938	0.22	range_low	+0.04%	+0.09	14/10 02:45 upd 14/10 03:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #199562	fresh	2026-10-14 02:00	0s	0.517	0.530	12/72	2026-10-14 03:00	2026-10-14 03:36
4h #199343	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	3h	0.325	0.305	74/74	2026-10-14 00:00	2026-10-14 00:38
1d #198972	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	7h	0.443	0.572	46/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #156011	fresh	2026-10-14 02:45	0s	$0.071647	$0.076394	$0.071077	lvn LVN	10.60	7.57
7d #156084	fresh	2026-10-14 02:00	0s	$0.087826	$0.093586	$0.084099	lvn LVN	-4.91	5.33
30d #155642	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	3h	$0.087333	$0.122860	$0.076721	value	-2.13	10.67

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070773 → $0.071153	0.54%	0.54	0.56	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007938	+11.29
above	$0.076926 → $0.077457	0.69%	0.76	0.24	continuation_up	—	↑ $0.001634	+2.33
inside	$0.078597 → $0.079888	1.63%	1.84	0.72	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.079091. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070773 → $0.071676	1.27%	0.51	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007415	+4.17
inside	$0.078227 → $0.081163	3.68%	1.65	0.77	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.095844 → $0.097877	2.10%	1.14	0.89	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.016753	-9.41

Prix observé : $0.079091. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.038888 → $0.062880	47.15%	5.55	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.016211	+3.75
below	$0.146852 → $0.149620	1.87%	0.64	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.067761	-15.67

Prix observé : $0.079091. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T06:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}