Observation #33954

← Research Observations / #33954

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-14 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,559.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,906,462,950

Synced: 10-14 05:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2373

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 03:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00031798

Settled at: 2026-10-14 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,139.53

OI (USD)$3,184,841,069

Mark price$83,505.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,902,413,169

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 03:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.132%

Change 4h -0.355%

Change 24h -0.736%

Z-score 7d -0.13

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001137%

Avg 24h 0.000816%

Percentile 7d 63.1%

Percentile 30d 32.6%

Δ 4h +0.000064%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.133%

Divergence -0.03

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.585

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.26

OI momentum 4h

+1.186%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+22 crowded

Time: 2026-10-14 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #309932	fresh	8h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.582	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 34%	early 22b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.29	72%	↔ -0.09	above_value	+0.32	—	#154828	—	—	—	—	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:15	↗
4h #312934	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.605	volatile_reversal	range_high	30%	noisy_chop 33%	early 7b 0.3ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	0.41	19%	↑ +0.42	above_value	+1.12	—	#156028	—	—	—	—	14/10 00:00 upd 14/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #312933	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.582	compression	range_medium	39%	noisy_chop 36%	early 4b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.55	28%	↓ -0.55	above_value	+1.12	—	#156028	—	—	—	—	14/10 03:00 upd 14/10 04:05	↗
15m #312870	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.565	normal	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 34%	early 3b 0.4ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	2.25	66%	↓ -0.17	above_value	+1.12	—	#156028	—	—	—	—	14/10 03:45 upd 14/10 04:00	↗
5m #312869	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.411	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 36%	early 2b 1.1ATR	—	near -1.6ATR	0.94	60%	↑ +0.35	above_value	+1.12	—	#156028	—	—	—	—	14/10 03:55 upd 14/10 04:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #199578	fresh	2026-10-14 03:00	0s	0.485	0.508	16/71	2026-10-14 04:00	2026-10-14 04:35
4h #199649	fresh	2026-10-14 00:00	0s	0.510	0.499	14/71	2026-10-14 04:00	2026-10-14 04:37
1d #198911	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	8h	0.566	0.573	20/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #156101	fresh	2026-10-14 03:45	0s	$83,402.79	$83,568.07	$83,157.38	value	0.98	2.57
7d #156173	fresh	2026-10-14 03:00	0s	$82,977.15	$83,885.57	$82,366.03	hvn	1.54	4.03
30d #156245	fresh	2026-10-14 00:00	0s	$83,857.70	$87,052.07	$81,815.40	hvn	-0.39	6.70

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,927.00 → $83,007.13	0.10%	0.50	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $551.87	+3.45
below	$83,908.63 → $84,129.00	0.26%	1.38	0.94	continuation_up	✓	↓ $349.63	-2.19

Prix observé : $83,559.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,879.53	0.66%	1.40	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,679.47	+7.10
above	$81,044.70 → $81,342.00	0.37%	0.79	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,217.00	+5.88
below	$84,050.73 → $84,315.00	0.31%	0.70	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $491.73	-1.30

Prix observé : $83,559.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$78,463.93 → $80,453.87	2.50%	2.55	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,105.13	+3.98
below	$87,052.07 → $87,471.00	0.48%	0.54	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,493.07	-4.47

Prix observé : $83,559.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	04:05	04:20	+0.08%	+0.17×	+0.95×	0.00×	10m	5m	High first	0.25	0.00%	+0.08%	16.05%	0.46%	$65.16M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	04:05	05:05	-0.33%	-0.68×	+0.95×	-0.96×	10m	45m	High first	0.24	0.00%	-0.33%	43.00%	0.92%	$169.04M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	04:05	08:05	-0.13%	-0.27×	+0.95×	-1.82×	10m	2h5m	High first	0.04	0.00%	-0.13%	30.26%	1.34%	$327.98M	— / —	05:20 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	04:05	16:05	-2.25%	-4.65×	+0.95×	-5.48×	10m	9h50m	High first	0.16	0.00%	-2.25%	50.80%	3.11%	$2.25B	— / —	05:20 / 08:30	—	100%
1d	computed	04:05	04:05	-2.82%	-5.82×	+0.95×	-8.70×	10m	18h25m	High first	0.10	0.00%	-2.82%	52.65%	4.67%	$4.15B	— / —	05:20 / 08:30	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T07:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T07:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}