Observation #33958

← Research Observations / #33958

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-14 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$10.1940

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $7,230,135

Synced: 10-14 05:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-14 03:00) Next (10-14 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2373

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 03:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00037469

Settled at: 2026-10-14 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,425,572.94

OI (USD)$24,682,630

Mark price$10.1760

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$7,311,630

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 03:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.307%

Change 4h +0.105%

Change 24h -9.339%

Z-score 7d 0.00

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000286%

Avg 24h -0.000045%

Percentile 7d 39.3%

Percentile 30d 16.4%

Δ 4h -0.000309%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.116%

Divergence -0.97

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.387

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.32

OI momentum 4h

+0.418%

Funding +ratio 24h

64.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-14 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #309948	fresh	8h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.603	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 32%	early 14b -0.3ATR	near -1.6ATR	—	0.80	88%	↓ -0.32	below_value	-6.70	—	#154832	0.71	bull_high	+8.74%	+0.10	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:16	↗
4h #312942	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.358	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 36%	early 7b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.44	26%	↔ -0.13	above_value	-0.91	—	#156177	0.57	range_high	+0.17%	-0.23	14/10 00:00 upd 14/10 04:11	↗
1h anchor #312941	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	weak	grind	0.533	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 29%	early 7b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.48	26%	↓ -0.44	above_value	-0.91	—	#156177	0.68	range_medium	+0.38%	-0.07	14/10 03:00 upd 14/10 04:11	↗
15m #312874	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.379	normal	bear_medium	58%	noisy_chop 42%	late 13b -1.1ATR	near -1.9ATR	—	1.04	50%	↑ +0.32	above_value	-0.89	—	#156032	0.70	range_low	+0.22%	-0.13	14/10 03:45 upd 14/10 04:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #199582	fresh	2026-10-14 03:00	0s	0.420	0.416	54/71	2026-10-14 04:00	2026-10-14 04:35
4h #199653	fresh	2026-10-14 00:00	0s	0.454	0.395	41/71	2026-10-14 04:00	2026-10-14 04:37
1d #198915	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	8h	0.464	0.612	37/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #156105	fresh	2026-10-14 03:45	0s	$10.1980	$10.2706	$10.1582	hvn	-0.10	2.74
7d #156177	fresh	2026-10-14 03:00	0s	$10.2924	$10.9712	$9.9290	hvn	-0.91	9.69
30d #156249	fresh	2026-10-14 00:00	0s	$11.0289	$11.4937	$10.3622	between	-3.17	4.45

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$10.3721 → $10.3968	0.24%	0.60	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.178075	-4.34
below	$10.4214 → $10.4790	0.55%	1.40	0.95	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.227425	-5.55

Prix observé : $10.1940. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.7644 → $9.9975	2.36%	2.17	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.196473	+1.83
below	$10.7380 → $10.7929	0.51%	0.51	0.38	reversion	—	↓ $0.544047	-5.06
below	$11.3277 → $11.4100	0.72%	0.76	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.1337	-10.54

Prix observé : $10.1940. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$7.6546 → $7.8971	3.12%	0.95	0.94	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.2969	+9.04
above	$8.0991 → $9.0690	11.30%	3.82	0.92	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.1250	+4.43

Prix observé : $10.1940. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T07:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T07:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}