Observation #34

← Research Observations / #34

🪙 PYTH page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PYTH

Market snapshot at

2026-09-25 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.073850

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,753,889

Synced: 09-26 00:00 +1h

Next (09-26 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PYTH — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5

evaluated_at: 2026-09-25 22:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00005727

Settled at: 2026-09-25 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,769,984.00

OI (USD)$2,846,841

Mark price$0.073429

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,718,194

Snapshot at: 2026-09-25 22:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features ⓘ

missing

Missing — no derivatives features row before observed_at. Check that app:dispatch-derivatives-features-jobs ran successfully, or that OI history exists for this pair (OI starts ~mid-Sep 2026).

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #136158	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.591	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	73%	noisy_chop 46%	late 2b 2.4ATR	—	near -1.4ATR	2.03	94%	↑ +0.57	above_value	+4.93	inside	#79235	0.63	bull_high_confirmed	+14.79%	+0.99	24/09 20:00 upd 25/09 20:20	↗
4h #135991	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.698	compression	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 37%	late 13b 2.0ATR	—	near -2.2ATR	0.67	78%	↔ -0.10	above_value	+4.93	inside	#79235	0.43	bull_high	+3.58%	+0.86	25/09 16:00 upd 25/09 20:14	↗
1h anchor #137356	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.708	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 42%	early 4b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.32	46%	↓ -0.42	above_value	+4.63	—	#79816	0.51	range_medium	-0.13%	+0.68	25/09 22:00 upd 25/09 23:09	↗
15m #137279	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	0.688	expansion	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 45%	early 2b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.12	18%	↓ -0.81	above_value	+4.35	—	#79650	0.57	range_low	-0.09%	+0.03	25/09 22:45 upd 25/09 23:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #156015	fresh	2026-09-25 22:00	0s	0.662	0.800	13/82	2026-09-25 23:00	2026-09-25 23:35
4h #155687	fresh	2026-09-25 16:00	3h	0.741	0.893	17/82	2026-09-25 20:00	2026-09-25 20:38
1d #155769	fresh	2026-09-24 20:00	3h	0.813	0.986	14/82	2026-09-25 20:00	2026-09-25 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #79733	fresh	2026-09-25 22:45	0s	$0.074149	$0.074495	$0.071159	hvn	-0.41	4.63
7d #79816	fresh	2026-09-25 22:00	0s	$0.066697	$0.070044	$0.061565	between	4.63	5.49
30d #79318	fresh	2026-09-25 16:00	3h	$0.054543	$0.062602	$0.046483	lvn LVN	6.20	5.04

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.067697 → $0.068075	0.56%	0.52	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005775	+8.01
above	$0.068389 → $0.069585	1.73%	1.66	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004265	+5.92

Prix observé : $0.073850. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.057400 → $0.060375	5.05%	1.93	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.013475	+8.72
below	$0.074209 → $0.075250	1.39%	0.67	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000359	-0.23

Prix observé : $0.073850. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.069298 → $0.075250	8.24%	1.86	0.58	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.073850. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T02:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T02:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": null,
        "staleness_seconds": null,
        "resolution": "missing"
    }
}