Observation #34013

← Research Observations / #34013

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-14 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.082112

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $12,290,890

Synced: 10-14 05:02 +1h

← Prev (10-14 03:00) Next (10-14 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2373

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 03:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00004431

Settled at: 2026-10-14 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)652,580,436.00

OI (USD)$53,510,291

Mark price$0.081998

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$12,392,927

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 03:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.004%

Change 4h -0.294%

Change 24h +7.178%

Z-score 7d 0.20

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000983%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 82.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.200%

Divergence -0.77

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.224

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.59

OI momentum 4h

-0.237%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

+16 crowded

Time: 2026-10-14 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #310139	fresh	8h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.393	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 42%	late 18b -1.1ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.63	82%	↓ -0.85	value	-3.93	—	#154893	0.54	bull_high	+8.74%	-0.61	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:26	↗
4h #313062	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.551	expansion	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 36%	early 7b -0.7ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.25	7%	↑ +0.49	value	-5.05	—	#156232	0.54	range_high	+0.17%	-0.60	14/10 00:00 upd 14/10 04:16	↗
1h anchor #313063	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.495	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 32%	early 7b -0.5ATR	near 0.4ATR	near -0.7ATR	0.21	9%	↓ -0.82	value	-5.05	—	#156232	0.67	range_medium	+0.38%	+0.21	14/10 03:00 upd 14/10 04:16	↗
15m #312922	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.369	normal	range_medium	42%	noisy_chop 41%	early 5b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.93	23%	↑ +0.33	above_value	-5.18	—	#156088	0.63	range_low	+0.22%	-0.13	14/10 03:45 upd 14/10 04:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #199636	fresh	2026-10-14 03:00	0s	0.431	0.436	48/71	2026-10-14 04:00	2026-10-14 04:36
4h #199707	fresh	2026-10-14 00:00	0s	0.422	0.281	54/71	2026-10-14 04:00	2026-10-14 04:38
1d #198975	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	8h	0.320	0.332	74/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #156160	fresh	2026-10-14 03:45	0s	$0.080934	$0.082028	$0.079110	between	2.85	7.05
7d #156232	fresh	2026-10-14 03:00	0s	$0.086837	$0.088104	$0.081494	value	-5.05	6.82
30d #156304	fresh	2026-10-14 00:00	0s	$0.096431	$0.107301	$0.079818	value	-6.13	11.62

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.081644 → $0.081913	0.33%	0.65	0.44	continuation_up	—	↑ $0.000199	+0.48
below	$0.083104 → $0.083718	0.74%	1.48	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000992	-2.40

Prix observé : $0.082112. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076536 → $0.078960	3.12%	2.50	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003152	+3.25
below	$0.088876 → $0.089757	0.99%	0.91	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006764	-6.98

Prix observé : $0.082112. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076536 → $0.080228	4.71%	1.56	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001884	+0.80
below	$0.117146 → $0.125760	7.09%	3.64	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.035034	-14.81

Prix observé : $0.082112. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T07:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T07:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}