Observation #34317

← Research Observations / #34317

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-14 09:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

08:00–09:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

09:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

10:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,703.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,341,814,223

Synced: 10-14 10:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-14 08:00) Next (10-14 10:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1017

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 08:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001133%

Annualized9.92%

Premium-0.00040937

Settled at: 2026-10-14 09:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,427.81

OI (USD)$3,186,222,982

Mark price$82,914.50

Funding next0.001144%

Day vol (USD)$2,153,863,167

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 08:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.417%

Change 4h +0.626%

Change 24h -0.480%

Z-score 7d -0.54

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001052%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.839%

Divergence -2.08 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.757

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.10

OI momentum 4h

-0.136%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+27 crowded

Time: 2026-10-14 08:00:00 OI observed: 07:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 08:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #309932	fresh	13h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.582	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 34%	early 22b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.29	72%	↔ -0.09	above_value	+0.32	—	#154828	—	—	—	—	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:15	↗
4h #314407	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.584	volatile_reversal	range_high	31%	noisy_chop 33%	early 8b 0.1ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.87	55%	↑ +0.37	above_value	+1.14	—	#156679	—	—	—	—	14/10 04:00 upd 14/10 08:05	↗
1h anchor #314829	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.519	expansion_after_compression	range_medium	35%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 4b -1.4ATR	—	—	4.99	99%	↑ +0.17	above_value	+1.20	—	#156823	—	—	—	—	14/10 08:00 upd 14/10 09:05	↗
15m #314765	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.497	volatile_reversal	bear_low_confirmed	33%	noisy_chop 45%	late 1b -2.5ATR	—	—	1.58	93%	↔ +0.08	above_value	+1.20	—	#156823	—	—	—	—	14/10 08:45 upd 14/10 09:00	↗
5m #314764	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.528	expansion_after_compression	bear_low_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 47%	late 1b -2.2ATR	—	—	0.74	91%	↑ +0.97	above_value	+1.20	—	#156823	—	—	—	—	14/10 08:55 upd 14/10 09:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #200077	fresh	2026-10-14 08:00	0s	0.635	0.454	4/75	2026-10-14 09:00	2026-10-14 09:35
4h #200006	fresh	2026-10-14 04:00	1h	0.529	0.492	15/71	2026-10-14 08:00	2026-10-14 08:37
1d #198911	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	13h	0.566	0.573	20/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #156967	fresh	2026-10-14 08:45	0s	$83,403.70	$83,674.60	$83,158.00	lvn LVN	-2.53	1.87
7d #157039	fresh	2026-10-14 08:00	0s	$82,977.15	$83,885.57	$82,366.03	value	-0.61	3.36
30d #156895	fresh	2026-10-14 04:00	1h	$83,857.70	$87,052.07	$81,815.40	hvn	-0.60	6.50

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$82,591.00 → $82,906.00	0.38%	1.14	0.78	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$83,888.80 → $84,103.00	0.26%	0.77	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,185.80	-4.29

Prix observé : $82,703.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,879.53	0.66%	1.17	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,823.47	+4.04
above	$81,044.70 → $81,342.00	0.37%	0.66	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,361.00	+3.01
below	$84,083.77 → $84,315.00	0.27%	0.51	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,380.77	-3.06

Prix observé : $82,703.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$77,416.60 → $78,045.00	0.81%	0.78	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $4,658.00	+5.78
above	$78,568.67 → $80,349.13	2.24%	2.21	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,353.87	+2.92
below	$87,052.07 → $87,471.00	0.48%	0.52	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,349.07	-5.40

Prix observé : $82,703.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	09:05	09:20	-0.43%	-0.74×	+0.04×	-0.78×	10m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.43%	86.05%	0.47%	$99.77M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	09:05	10:05	-0.63%	-1.09×	+0.75×	-1.17×	45m	1h	High first	0.27	0.00%	-0.63%	84.04%	1.10%	$372.85M	— / —	10:00 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	09:05	13:05	-0.83%	-1.45×	+0.75×	-2.47×	45m	3h20m	High first	0.13	0.00%	-0.83%	55.17%	1.85%	$1.14B	— / —	10:00 / 10:45	—	100%
12h	computed	09:05	21:05	-1.23%	-2.14×	+0.75×	-2.93×	45m	11h50m	High first	0.09	0.00%	-1.23%	39.52%	2.11%	$1.92B	— / —	10:00 / 10:45	—	100%
1d	computed	09:05	09:05	-2.62%	-4.57×	+0.75×	-5.34×	45m	13h25m	High first	0.09	0.00%	-2.62%	49.17%	3.50%	$3.88B	— / —	10:00 / 10:45	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T12:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T12:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}