Observation #34398

← Research Observations / #34398

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-14 10:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

09:00–10:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

10:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

11:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$9.8964

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $6,661,207

Synced: 10-14 11:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-14 09:00) Next (10-14 11:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1075

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 09:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001256%

Annualized-11.00%

Premium-0.00060044

Settled at: 2026-10-14 10:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,384,105.14

OI (USD)$23,768,575

Mark price$9.9696

Funding next-0.001170%

Day vol (USD)$6,051,612

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 09:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.202%

Change 4h -0.642%

Change 24h -3.795%

Z-score 7d 0.12

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001601%

Avg 24h -0.000199%

Percentile 7d 4.8% bottom

Percentile 30d 2.9%

Δ 4h -0.001403%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.748%

Divergence -1.59

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.825

OI / Vol z-7d

0.07

OI momentum 4h

+0.800%

Funding +ratio 24h

56.0%

Sign streak

-2

Time: 2026-10-14 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #309948	fresh	14h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.603	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 32%	early 14b -0.3ATR	near -1.6ATR	—	0.80	88%	↓ -0.32	below_value	-6.70	—	#154832	0.71	bull_high	+8.74%	+0.10	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:16	↗
4h #314415	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.414	normal	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early 8b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.51	29%	↓ -0.23	above_value	-0.90	—	#156827	0.57	range_high	+0.03%	-0.08	14/10 04:00 upd 14/10 08:11	↗
1h anchor #315198	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	weak	fading	0.664	normal	bear_high_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 39%	late 13b -2.5ATR	near -1.8ATR	—	4.57	91%	↑ +0.78	above_value	-3.18	inside	#157190	0.69	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.11%	-0.20	14/10 09:00 upd 14/10 10:09	↗
15m #315132	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.378	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	54%	noisy_chop 47%	late 1b -2.7ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	1.53	91%	↑ +0.94	value	-2.38	—	#157043	0.78	bear_low_confirmed	-1.20%	-0.14	14/10 09:45 upd 14/10 10:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #200156	fresh	2026-10-14 09:00	0s	0.565	0.339	25/76	2026-10-14 10:00	2026-10-14 10:35
4h #200010	fresh	2026-10-14 04:00	2h	0.471	0.403	36/71	2026-10-14 08:00	2026-10-14 08:37
1d #198915	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	14h	0.464	0.612	37/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #157115	fresh	2026-10-14 09:45	0s	$10.1961	$10.3597	$10.0593	lvn LVN	-3.87	3.88
7d #157190	fresh	2026-10-14 09:00	0s	$10.2924	$10.8889	$9.8741	lvn LVN	-3.18	8.15
30d #156899	fresh	2026-10-14 04:00	2h	$11.0289	$11.4937	$10.3622	between	-3.38	4.52

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$9.8800 → $9.9248	0.45%	0.58	0.47	continuation_down	—	inside	+0.00
below	$10.0997 → $10.1445	0.44%	0.58	0.53	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.203283	-2.62
below	$10.3508 → $10.4180	0.65%	0.87	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.454350	-5.86

Prix observé : $9.8964. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$9.7644 → $9.9290	1.67%	1.32	0.68	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$10.7243 → $10.7929	0.64%	0.55	0.37	reversion	—	↓ $0.827933	-6.65
below	$11.2729 → $11.4100	1.21%	1.10	0.60	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.3765	-11.05

Prix observé : $9.8964. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$7.6546 → $7.8971	3.12%	0.97	0.94	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.9993	+7.99
above	$8.0991 → $9.0690	11.30%	3.88	0.92	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.827391	+3.31

Prix observé : $9.8964. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T13:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T13:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}