Observation #34552

← Research Observations / #34552

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-14 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$9.8209

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $7,290,238

Synced: 10-14 13:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-14 11:00) Next (10-14 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.086

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 11:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001135%

Annualized9.94%

Premium-0.00040921

Settled at: 2026-10-14 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,353,384.66

OI (USD)$23,080,349

Mark price$9.8073

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$6,706,194

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 11:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.700%

Change 4h -0.851%

Change 24h -3.647%

Z-score 7d -0.37

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000333%

Avg 24h 0.000014%

Percentile 7d 26.2%

Percentile 30d 11.3%

Δ 4h -0.000966%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -3.698%

Divergence -1.96

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.605

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.28

OI momentum 4h

+0.815%

Funding +ratio 24h

56.0%

Sign streak

-4

Time: 2026-10-14 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #309948	fresh	16h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.603	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 32%	early 14b -0.3ATR	near -1.6ATR	—	0.80	88%	↓ -0.32	below_value	-6.70	—	#154832	0.71	bull_high	+8.74%	+0.10	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:16	↗
4h #315939	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.379	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	late 8b -1.8ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	2.38	79%	↓ -0.21	below_value	-3.67	—	#157496	0.58	bear_high_confirmed	-2.13%	-0.29	14/10 08:00 upd 14/10 12:12	↗
1h anchor #315938	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	weak	fading	0.764	normal	bear_high_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 40%	late 15b -2.6ATR	near -2.4ATR	—	1.14	63%	↑ +0.78	below_value	-3.67	inside	#157496	0.68	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.89%	-0.23	14/10 11:00 upd 14/10 12:12	↗
15m #315870	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.629	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	51%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 2b -1.5ATR	near -0.9ATR	—	0.66	77%	↑ +0.58	above_value	-3.19	—	#157342	0.79	bear_low_confirmed	-1.79%	-0.16	14/10 11:45 upd 14/10 12:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #200308	fresh	2026-10-14 11:00	0s	0.463	0.250	37/77	2026-10-14 12:00	2026-10-14 12:35
4h #200384	fresh	2026-10-14 08:00	0s	0.492	0.237	31/77	2026-10-14 12:00	2026-10-14 12:37
1d #198915	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	16h	0.464	0.612	37/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #157419	fresh	2026-10-14 11:45	0s	$10.2026	$10.3491	$9.9964	between	-5.02	4.64
7d #157496	fresh	2026-10-14 11:00	0s	$10.2914	$10.8732	$9.8739	lvn LVN	-3.67	7.79
30d #157573	fresh	2026-10-14 08:00	0s	$11.0289	$11.4937	$10.3622	between	-4.42	4.21

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.7728 → $9.8175	0.46%	0.59	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003385	+0.04
below	$10.0858 → $10.1454	0.59%	0.78	0.48	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.264905	-3.48

Prix observé : $9.8209. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$9.7644 → $9.8876	1.25%	0.96	0.64	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$10.7226 → $10.8047	0.76%	0.64	0.36	reversion	—	↓ $0.901683	-7.03
below	$11.2564 → $11.4070	1.33%	1.17	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.4355	-11.19

Prix observé : $9.8209. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$7.6546 → $7.8971	3.12%	0.90	0.94	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.9238	+7.16
above	$8.0991 → $9.0690	11.30%	3.61	0.92	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.751891	+2.80

Prix observé : $9.8209. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T15:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T15:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}