Observation #34563

← Research Observations / #34563

🪙 LINK page 📊 Market Context

🪙 LINK

Market snapshot at

2026-10-14 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$12.4150

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $15,763,077

Synced: 10-14 13:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-14 11:00) Next (10-14 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · LINK — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.086

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 11:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000490%

Annualized4.30%

Premium-0.00046077

Settled at: 2026-10-14 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)4,907,211.80

OI (USD)$61,168,395

Mark price$12.4650

Funding next0.000503%

Day vol (USD)$15,186,771

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 11:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -7.299%

Change 4h -10.186%

Change 24h -11.537%

Z-score 7d -20.22 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.002397%

Avg 24h 0.000775%

Percentile 7d 0.0% bottom

Percentile 30d 0.1%

Δ 4h -0.003092%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -3.767%

Divergence 16.11 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.048

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.14

OI momentum 4h

-10.055%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

-2

Time: 2026-10-14 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #309992	fresh	16h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.644	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 37%	early 14b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.38	67%	↓ -0.78	above_value	-3.56	—	#154843	0.82	bull_high	+8.74%	+0.51	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:19	↗
4h #315961	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	0.372	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	48%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 8b -1.6ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	5.90	97%	↔ -0.00	value	-3.13	—	#157507	0.73	bear_high_confirmed	-2.13%	-0.18	14/10 08:00 upd 14/10 12:13	↗
1h anchor #315960	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.538	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 39%	late 7b -2.4ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.93	88%	↑ +0.90	value	-3.13	—	#157507	0.77	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.89%	-0.20	14/10 11:00 upd 14/10 12:13	↗
15m #315881	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.411	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	51%	noisy_chop 48%	mid 5b -1.5ATR	—	—	0.40	92%	↑ +0.90	value	-3.25	—	#157353	0.83	bear_low_confirmed	-1.79%	-0.17	14/10 11:45 upd 14/10 12:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #200319	fresh	2026-10-14 11:00	0s	0.493	0.305	23/77	2026-10-14 12:00	2026-10-14 12:35
4h #200395	fresh	2026-10-14 08:00	0s	0.578	0.265	12/77	2026-10-14 12:00	2026-10-14 12:37
1d #198926	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	16h	0.398	0.507	55/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #157430	fresh	2026-10-14 11:45	0s	$12.8970	$13.0516	$12.5256	hvn	-5.16	5.63
7d #157507	fresh	2026-10-14 11:00	0s	$12.8983	$13.1874	$12.3968	value	-3.13	5.12
30d #157584	fresh	2026-10-14 08:00	0s	$14.2066	$15.3037	$12.9374	between	-6.38	8.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$12.3020 → $12.3743	0.59%	0.77	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.040675	+0.44
below	$12.7886 → $12.8477	0.46%	0.63	0.69	reversion	✓	↓ $0.373550	-4.00
below	$13.0253 → $13.0910	0.50%	0.70	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.610250	-6.53

Prix observé : $12.4150. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$12.0900 → $12.3024	1.74%	1.38	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.112600	+0.73

Prix observé : $12.4150. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.6140 → $10.7861	1.61%	0.59	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.6289	+5.57
above	$10.9582 → $11.2164	2.33%	0.88	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.1987	+4.10
above	$11.4315 → $12.0769	5.49%	2.21	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.338150	+1.16
below	$15.5619 → $15.7770	1.37%	0.74	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3.1469	-10.77

Prix observé : $12.4150. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T15:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T15:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}