Observation #34953

← Research Observations / #34953

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-14 17:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

16:00–17:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

17:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

18:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,761.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,958,351,439

Synced: 10-14 18:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-14 16:00) Next (10-14 18:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1889

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 16:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00027249

Settled at: 2026-10-14 17:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,570.65

OI (USD)$3,317,421,365

Mark price$81,769.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,950,391,677

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 16:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +2.076%

Change 4h +3.034%

Change 24h +5.263%

Z-score 7d 3.09 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001142%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.273%

Divergence -3.06 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.122

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.73

OI momentum 4h

+1.008%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+35 crowded

Time: 2026-10-14 16:00:00 OI observed: 15:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 16:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #309932	fresh	21h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.582	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 34%	early 22b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.29	72%	↔ -0.09	above_value	+0.32	—	#154828	—	—	—	—	12/10 20:00 upd 13/10 20:15	↗
4h #317529	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.518	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	49%	noisy_chop 35%	mid 8b -1.3ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.94	68%	↑ +0.17	below_value	-2.63	—	#158044	—	—	—	—	14/10 12:00 upd 14/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #317996	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	explosive	0.619	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	55%	noisy_chop 41%	late 12b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.74	68%	↑ +0.63	below_value	-2.45	—	#158208	—	—	—	—	14/10 16:00 upd 14/10 17:05	↗
15m #317928	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	weak	grind	0.541	compression	bear_low	46%	noisy_chop 40%	early 2b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.70	48%	↓ -0.27	below_value	-2.45	—	#158208	—	—	—	—	14/10 16:45 upd 14/10 17:00	↗
5m #317927	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.386	normal	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 42%	early 1b -0.3ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.39	22%	↔ +0.11	below_value	-2.45	—	#158208	—	—	—	—	14/10 16:55 upd 14/10 17:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #200858	fresh	2026-10-14 16:00	0s	0.523	0.452	16/81	2026-10-14 17:00	2026-10-14 17:35
4h #200777	fresh	2026-10-14 12:00	1h	0.546	0.450	9/81	2026-10-14 16:00	2026-10-14 16:37
1d #198911	fresh	2026-10-12 20:00	21h	0.566	0.573	20/76	2026-10-13 20:00	2026-10-13 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #158372	fresh	2026-10-14 16:45	0s	$81,898.76	$83,364.63	$81,497.00	hvn	-0.67	9.02
7d #158454	fresh	2026-10-14 16:00	0s	$82,977.15	$83,918.60	$82,167.83	between	-2.61	3.75
30d #158290	fresh	2026-10-14 12:00	1h	$83,857.70	$86,842.60	$81,920.13	between	-2.50	5.54

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$82,105.07 → $82,365.67	0.32%	1.26	0.72	reversion	✓	↓ $344.07	-1.66
below	$83,060.60 → $83,169.18	0.13%	0.52	0.56	reversion	✓	↓ $1,299.60	-6.28
below	$83,864.12 → $84,103.00	0.28%	1.15	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,103.12	-10.16

Prix observé : $81,761.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,879.53	0.66%	1.13	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $881.47	+1.89
above	$81,044.70 → $81,342.00	0.37%	0.64	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $419.00	+0.90

Prix observé : $81,761.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$77,416.60 → $80,244.40	3.59%	3.18	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,516.60	+1.71

Prix observé : $81,761.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	17:05	17:20	+0.02%	+0.04×	+0.09×	-0.31×	15m	10m	Low first	0.15	0.00%	+0.02%	10.66%	0.22%	$8.42M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	17:05	18:05	-0.01%	-0.02×	+0.41×	-0.31×	35m	10m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	-0.01%	24.01%	0.40%	$46.62M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	17:05	21:05	-0.05%	-0.09×	+0.41×	-0.92×	35m	3h50m	High first	0.01	0.00%	-0.05%	32.15%	0.74%	$336.58M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	17:05	05:05	-0.50%	-0.89×	+0.41×	-3.43×	35m	5h25m	High first	0.03	0.00%	-0.50%	54.66%	2.14%	$1.87B	— / —	22:20 / 22:20	—	100%
1d	computed	17:05	17:05	+0.46%	+0.82×	+1.87×	-4.44×	20h15m	16h55m	Low first	0.01	0.00%	+0.46%	53.11%	3.52%	$4.41B	11:05 / —	22:20 / 22:20	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T20:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T20:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}