Observation #35201

← Research Observations / #35201

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-14 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.181870

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $8,252,661

Synced: 10-14 21:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-14 19:00) Next (10-14 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5146

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 19:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000889%

Annualized-7.79%

Premium-0.00057112

Settled at: 2026-10-14 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)112,914,817.20

OI (USD)$20,472,586

Mark price$0.181310

Funding next-0.000966%

Day vol (USD)$8,748,646

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 19:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.035%

Change 4h -0.134%

Change 24h -1.176%

Z-score 7d -0.05

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001165%

Avg 24h -0.000331%

Percentile 7d 17.3%

Percentile 30d 6.1%

Δ 4h -0.000097%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.342%

Divergence 0.23

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.309

OI / Vol z-7d

0.38

OI momentum 4h

-0.308%

Funding +ratio 24h

32.0%

Sign streak

-10 crowded

Time: 2026-10-14 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319246	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.630	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 41%	early 21b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.61	78%	↓ -0.42	above_value	-1.53	—	#158949	0.58	bull_high	+6.66%	-0.89	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:17	↗
4h #319158	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.477	normal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 44%	early 5b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.20	1%	↓ -0.50	above_value	-1.53	—	#158949	0.39	bear_high_confirmed	-2.00%	-0.61	14/10 16:00 upd 14/10 20:13	↗
1h anchor #319157	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.362	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 42%	early 7b -0.9ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.26	6%	↓ -0.41	above_value	-1.53	—	#158949	0.69	bear_medium	-1.58%	-0.23	14/10 19:00 upd 14/10 20:13	↗
15m #319092	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.552	compression	bear_medium	55%	noisy_chop 33%	early 16b 0.1ATR	near 0.3ATR	near 0.1ATR	0.81	19%	↓ -0.45	value	-1.74	—	#158788	0.67	bear_low	-0.95%	-0.01	14/10 19:45 upd 14/10 20:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #201106	fresh	2026-10-14 19:00	0s	0.436	0.396	52/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:35
4h #201185	fresh	2026-10-14 16:00	0s	0.425	0.377	45/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:37
1d #201264	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	0s	0.361	0.392	49/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #158869	fresh	2026-10-14 19:45	0s	$0.181288	$0.188646	$0.179365	value	0.57	9.05
7d #158949	fresh	2026-10-14 19:00	0s	$0.185830	$0.195325	$0.177026	hvn	-1.53	7.07
30d #159029	fresh	2026-10-14 16:00	0s	$0.218049	$0.243523	$0.186337	between	-6.14	9.57

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.185862 → $0.186657	0.43%	0.78	0.56	reversion	✓	↓ $0.003992	-3.89
below	$0.192624 → $0.195010	1.23%	2.33	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.010754	-10.48

Prix observé : $0.181870. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.164942	2.12%	1.33	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.016928	+6.54
above	$0.169431 → $0.172538	1.82%	1.20	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009332	+3.61
above	$0.174610 → $0.175990	0.79%	0.53	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005880	+2.27
below	$0.201539 → $0.202920	0.68%	0.53	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.019669	-7.60

Prix observé : $0.181870. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.131230 → $0.147866	11.92%	2.78	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.034004	+5.69
above	$0.173860 → $0.176979	1.78%	0.52	0.55	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004891	+0.82
below	$0.244563 → $0.256000	4.57%	1.91	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.062693	-10.49

Prix observé : $0.181870. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T23:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T23:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-14T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}