Observation #35519

← Research Observations / #35519

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 00:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

23:00–00:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

00:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

01:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$80,911.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,867,356,689

Synced: 10-15 01:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0417

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 23:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000863%

Annualized7.56%

Premium-0.00043097

Settled at: 2026-10-15 00:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,332.69

OI (USD)$3,261,260,877

Mark price$80,859.00

Funding next0.000806%

Day vol (USD)$3,717,924,546

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 23:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.987%

Change 4h -0.273%

Change 24h +5.792%

Z-score 7d -2.86 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000576%

Avg 24h 0.001176%

Percentile 7d 38.7%

Percentile 30d 16.3%

Δ 4h -0.000674%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.905%

Divergence -1.07

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.918

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.93

OI momentum 4h

-1.981%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+42 crowded

Time: 2026-10-14 23:00:00 OI observed: 22:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 23:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319218	fresh	4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.551	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 23b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.39	78%	↔ +0.09	below_value	-3.06	—	#158942	—	—	—	—	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:15	↗
4h #320863	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.516	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	49%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 10b -1.4ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	1.82	91%	↑ +0.25	below_value	-2.88	—	#159502	—	—	—	—	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #320862	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.364	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 43%	late 1b -2.0ATR	near -0.9ATR	—	0.61	70%	↔ -0.01	below_value	-2.88	—	#159502	—	—	—	—	14/10 23:00 upd 15/10 00:05	↗
15m #320798	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.449	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	55%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 4b -1.0ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.45	56%	↑ +0.74	below_value	-2.88	—	#159502	—	—	—	—	14/10 23:45 upd 15/10 00:00	↗
5m #320797	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.366	normal	range_low	44%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 12b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.15	26%	↓ -0.83	below_value	-2.88	—	#159502	—	—	—	—	14/10 23:55 upd 15/10 00:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #201575	fresh	2026-10-14 23:00	0s	0.541	0.384	6/82	2026-10-15 00:00	2026-10-15 00:35
4h #201656	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	0s	0.601	0.419	5/82	2026-10-15 00:00	2026-10-15 00:37
1d #201257	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	4h	0.549	0.500	13/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #159584	fresh	2026-10-14 23:45	0s	$81,675.54	$82,636.75	$80,193.00	value	-2.15	6.86
7d #159667	fresh	2026-10-14 23:00	0s	$82,992.53	$83,971.50	$81,910.50	lvn LVN	-3.86	3.82
30d #159750	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	0s	$83,857.70	$86,842.60	$81,920.13	between	-2.86	5.33

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,193.00 → $80,714.33	0.65%	1.46	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $196.67	+0.55
below	$82,115.42 → $82,310.92	0.24%	0.55	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,204.42	-3.38
below	$83,907.50 → $84,103.00	0.23%	0.55	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,996.50	-8.41

Prix observé : $80,911.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$80,193.00 → $80,914.35	0.90%	1.34	0.73	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$84,005.85 → $84,315.00	0.37%	0.57	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,094.85	-5.74

Prix observé : $80,911.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$77,416.60 → $80,244.40	3.59%	3.06	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $666.60	+0.72

Prix observé : $80,911.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	00:05	00:20	+0.21%	+0.31×	+0.32×	-0.16×	15m	5m	Low first	0.71	0.00%	+0.21%	69.03%	0.34%	$20.33M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	00:05	01:05	+0.83%	+1.18×	+1.36×	-0.16×	50m	5m	Low first	0.76	0.00%	+0.83%	31.62%	1.06%	$179.89M	00:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	00:05	04:05	+0.53%	+0.76×	+1.36×	-0.83×	50m	2h5m	High first	0.10	0.00%	+0.53%	44.70%	1.53%	$622.05M	00:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	00:05	12:05	+1.67%	+2.40×	+2.96×	-2.12×	11h40m	9h55m	Low first	0.10	0.00%	+1.67%	53.72%	3.55%	$2.35B	00:30 / 11:00	09:10 / 09:55	—	100%
1d	computed	00:05	00:05	+1.31%	+1.88×	+2.98×	-2.12×	13h15m	9h55m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+1.31%	43.61%	3.56%	$3.53B	00:30 / 11:00	09:10 / 09:55	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T03:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T03:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}