Observation #35598

← Research Observations / #35598

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 00:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

23:00–00:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

00:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

01:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.856100

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $6,525,427

Synced: 10-15 01:02 +1h

← Prev (10-14 23:00) Next (10-15 01:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0417

evaluated_at: 2026-10-14 23:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000242%

Annualized-2.12%

Premium-0.00051932

Settled at: 2026-10-15 00:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,578,222.00

OI (USD)$32,162,824

Mark price$0.855890

Funding next-0.000489%

Day vol (USD)$6,657,689

Snapshot at: 2026-10-14 23:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -3.495%

Change 4h -3.158%

Change 24h -4.445%

Z-score 7d -4.94 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.002533%

Avg 24h 0.001055%

Percentile 7d 0.0% bottom

Percentile 30d 0.1%

Δ 4h -0.003783%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -5.162%

Divergence -0.63

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.089

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.26

OI momentum 4h

-2.989%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-14 23:00:00 OI observed: 22:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 23:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319508	fresh	4h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.616	expansion	bull_high	69%	noisy_chop 36%	early 12b 1.1ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	0.69	86%	↓ -0.30	above_value	+0.52	—	#159017	0.64	bull_high	+6.66%	+0.99	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:27	↗
4h #321055	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.427	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	early 3b -1.0ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	2.38	93%	↔ -0.07	above_value	-2.56	—	#159745	0.50	bear_high_confirmed	-2.83%	-0.58	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 00:19	↗
1h anchor #321054	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.229	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 1b -1.7ATR	near -1.5ATR	—	0.83	64%	↑ +0.30	above_value	-2.56	—	#159745	0.57	bear_medium_confirmed	-2.33%	-0.27	14/10 23:00 upd 15/10 00:19	↗
15m #320857	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.373	volatile_reversal	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 50%	mid 6b -1.6ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.38	63%	↑ +0.64	value	-1.68	—	#159579	0.71	bear_medium	-1.51%	-0.47	14/10 23:45 upd 15/10 00:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #201651	fresh	2026-10-14 23:00	0s	0.433	0.232	34/82	2026-10-15 00:00	2026-10-15 00:37
4h #201732	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	0s	0.498	0.385	19/82	2026-10-15 00:00	2026-10-15 00:39
1d #201331	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	4h	0.590	0.796	11/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #159662	fresh	2026-10-14 23:45	0s	$0.874623	$0.899211	$0.853486	hvn	-1.75	4.32
7d #159745	fresh	2026-10-14 23:00	0s	$0.902464	$0.958305	$0.818229	lvn LVN	-2.56	8.07
30d #159828	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	0s	$0.796909	$0.962373	$0.767006	hvn	1.95	5.63

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.817250 → $0.852623	4.24%	3.34	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003477	+0.33

Prix observé : $0.856100. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.852301 → $0.865552	1.54%	0.76	0.42	continuation_down	—	inside	+0.00
below	$0.952626 → $0.962090	0.99%	0.55	0.42	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.096526	-5.56
below	$0.973448 → $0.994270	2.12%	1.20	0.55	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.117348	-6.76

Prix observé : $0.856100. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.555691 → $0.631445	12.76%	2.18	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.224655	+6.48
above	$0.739097 → $0.763019	3.19%	0.69	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.093081	+2.68

Prix observé : $0.856100. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T03:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T03:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}