Observation #35618

← Research Observations / #35618

🪙 LINK page 📊 Market Context

🪙 LINK

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 01:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

00:00–01:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

01:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

02:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$12.2260

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $19,008,250

Synced: 10-15 02:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-15 00:00) Next (10-15 02:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · LINK — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1128

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 00:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00037612

Settled at: 2026-10-15 01:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)4,813,431.20

OI (USD)$58,897,144

Mark price$12.2360

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$18,654,346

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 00:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.126%

Change 4h -0.997%

Change 24h -12.547%

Z-score 7d 0.33

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000627%

Avg 24h 0.000369%

Percentile 7d 4.2% bottom

Percentile 30d 4.2%

Δ 4h +0.000368%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.641%

Divergence -0.52

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.166

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.23

OI momentum 4h

-0.594%

Funding +ratio 24h

76.0%

Sign streak

-3

Time: 2026-10-15 00:00:00 OI observed: 23:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 00:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319274	fresh	5h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.617	normal	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 15b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.78	87%	↓ -0.74	below_value	-3.48	—	#158956	0.82	bull_high	+6.66%	-0.29	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:18	↗
4h #320891	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.559	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	44%	noisy_chop 43%	late 11b -2.1ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	1.35	69%	↔ -0.05	below_value	-5.41	—	#159682	0.73	bear_high_confirmed	-2.83%	-0.58	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 00:13	↗
1h anchor #321346	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.487	volatile_reversal	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 2b -1.5ATR	near 0.3ATR	near 0.5ATR	0.65	83%	↓ -0.23	below_value	-4.17	inside	#159931	0.79	bear_medium	-1.51%	-0.32	15/10 00:00 upd 15/10 01:09	↗
15m #321278	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	0.414	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	51%	noisy_chop 44%	early 4b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.54	72%	↑ +0.56	below_value	-5.41	—	#159682	0.83	range_low	-0.64%	-0.15	15/10 00:45 upd 15/10 01:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #201754	fresh	2026-10-15 00:00	0s	0.468	0.325	35/82	2026-10-15 01:00	2026-10-15 01:35
4h #201670	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	1h	0.451	0.233	29/82	2026-10-15 00:00	2026-10-15 00:38
1d #201271	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	5h	0.353	0.357	54/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #159848	fresh	2026-10-15 00:45	0s	$12.4266	$12.7806	$12.3441	between	-2.28	4.96
7d #159931	fresh	2026-10-15 00:00	0s	$12.9073	$13.1244	$12.3744	lvn LVN	-4.17	4.59
30d #159765	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	1h	$14.2066	$15.3037	$12.9374	between	-6.89	7.90

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$11.9270 → $12.0337	0.89%	1.21	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.192300	+2.19
below	$12.2471 → $12.3053	0.47%	0.66	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.021100	-0.24
below	$13.0037 → $13.0910	0.67%	0.99	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.777700	-8.84

Prix observé : $12.2260. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$11.9270 → $12.2560	2.72%	2.01	0.77	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $12.2260. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.6140 → $10.7861	1.61%	0.57	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.4399	+4.81
above	$10.9582 → $11.2594	2.71%	1.01	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.966625	+3.23
above	$11.4315 → $12.0338	5.13%	2.01	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.192175	+0.64
below	$15.5619 → $15.7770	1.37%	0.72	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3.3359	-11.14

Prix observé : $12.2260. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T04:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T04:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}