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← Research Observations / #35667
🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context
🪙 TRUMP
Market snapshot at
2026-10-15 01:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
00:00–01:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
01:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
02:16 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$1.8095
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $3,610,921
Synced: 10-15 02:02 +1h
← Prev (10-15 00:00) Next (10-15 02:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.1128
evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 00:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00014583
Settled at: 2026-10-15 01:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)5,329,046.80
OI (USD)$9,655,700
Mark price$1.8119
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$3,621,389
Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 00:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -0.081%
Change 4h -4.771%
Change 24h -9.870%
Z-score 7d -0.07
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.000813%
Avg 24h 0.001019%
Percentile 7d 16.1%
Percentile 30d 25.8%
Δ 4h -0.000437%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -2.694%
Divergence 0.78
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
2.702
OI / Vol z-7d
-1.04
OI momentum 4h
-2.423%
Funding +ratio 24h
92.0%
Sign streak
+16 crowded
Time: 2026-10-15 00:00:00 OI observed: 23:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 00:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 160 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#319463
 fresh 5h ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.459 compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 36% mid 46b -0.7ATR — — 0.69 44% ↓ -0.47 value -0.68 — #159002 0.48 bull_high +6.66% -0.60
13/10 20:00
upd 14/10 20:26
 ↗
4h
#321010
 fresh 1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.488 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
45%
noisy_chop 37% late 8b -1.8ATR near -1.4ATR — 2.47 83% ↔ -0.06 below_value -3.79 inside #159730 0.55 bear_high_confirmed -2.83% -0.47
14/10 20:00
upd 15/10 00:18
 ↗
1h anchor
#321395
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.407 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 43% late 2b -1.6ATR near 0.1ATR — 0.79 78% ↓ -0.37 below_value -2.87 — #159979 0.70 bear_medium -1.51% -0.27
15/10 00:00
upd 15/10 01:11
 ↗
15m
#321240
 fresh 15min ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.415 volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 48% mid 9b -0.4ATR — — 0.10 39% ↑ +0.41 below_value -3.79 — #159730 0.70 range_low -0.66% -0.36
15/10 00:30
upd 15/10 00:47
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#201802
 fresh 2026-10-15 00:00 0s 0.490 0.334 25/82 2026-10-15 01:00 2026-10-15 01:37
4h
#201718
 fresh 2026-10-14 20:00 1h 0.510 0.236 15/82 2026-10-15 00:00 2026-10-15 00:39
1d
#201317
 fresh 2026-10-13 20:00 5h 0.315 0.269 65/79 2026-10-14 20:00 2026-10-14 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#159896
 fresh 2026-10-15 00:45 0s $1.8868 $1.9148 $1.8179 between -4.50 5.64
7d
#159979
 fresh 2026-10-15 00:00 0s $1.8946 $1.9368 $1.8412 between -2.87 3.22
30d
#159813
 fresh 2026-10-14 20:00 1h $2.0486 $2.1876 $1.9389 lvn LVN -5.06 4.92

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $1.7392 → $1.7498 0.61% 0.62 0.52 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.059701 +3.48
below $1.8179 → $1.8361 0.99% 1.06 0.52 continuation_down ✓ ↓ $0.008437 -0.49
below $1.8391 → $1.8528 0.74% 0.79 0.66 continuation_down ✓ ↓ $0.029635 -1.73

Prix observé : $1.8095. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $1.7344 → $1.7700 2.03% 1.20 0.63 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.039491 +1.33

Prix observé : $1.8095. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
inside $1.7000 → $1.8170 6.65% 2.31 0.85 continuation_down ✓ inside +0.00
below $2.2558 → $2.2851 1.29% 0.58 0.84 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.446345 -8.82

Prix observé : $1.8095. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T04:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T04:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}