Observation #35687

← Research Observations / #35687

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$80,554.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,112,943,016

Synced: 10-15 03:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-15 01:00) Next (10-15 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0808

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 01:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000739%

Annualized6.47%

Premium-0.00044088

Settled at: 2026-10-15 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,546.48

OI (USD)$3,184,638,614

Mark price$80,529.00

Funding next0.000838%

Day vol (USD)$4,018,338,781

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 01:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.349%

Change 4h -1.728%

Change 24h +4.966%

Z-score 7d -1.90

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001177%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.298%

Divergence -0.50

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.841

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.99

OI momentum 4h

-1.525%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+44 crowded

Time: 2026-10-15 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319218	fresh	6h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.551	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 23b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.39	78%	↔ +0.09	below_value	-3.06	—	#158942	—	—	—	—	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:15	↗
4h #320863	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.516	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	49%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 10b -1.4ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	1.82	91%	↑ +0.25	below_value	-2.88	—	#159502	—	—	—	—	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #321736	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.369	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 3b -1.6ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.36	45%	↔ -0.04	below_value	-2.54	—	#159916	—	—	—	—	15/10 01:00 upd 15/10 02:05	↗
15m #321676	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.591	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 45%	late 4b -1.8ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	2.30	98%	↔ -0.10	below_value	-2.54	—	#159916	—	—	—	—	15/10 01:45 upd 15/10 02:00	↗
5m #321675	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.728	normal	bear_low_confirmed	47%	noisy_chop 48%	late 13b -2.9ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	1.69	90%	↑ +0.17	below_value	-2.54	—	#159916	—	—	—	—	15/10 01:55 upd 15/10 02:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #201821	fresh	2026-10-15 01:00	0s	0.537	0.358	8/83	2026-10-15 02:00	2026-10-15 02:35
4h #201656	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	2h	0.601	0.419	5/82	2026-10-15 00:00	2026-10-15 00:37
1d #201257	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	6h	0.549	0.500	13/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #159999	fresh	2026-10-15 01:45	0s	$81,675.54	$82,376.08	$80,193.00	lvn LVN	-3.29	6.39
7d #160083	fresh	2026-10-15 01:00	0s	$82,992.53	$83,971.50	$81,841.80	lvn LVN	-4.01	3.50
30d #159750	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	2h	$83,857.70	$86,842.60	$81,920.13	between	-2.86	5.33

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$80,193.00 → $80,649.17	0.57%	1.34	0.65	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$82,115.42 → $82,343.50	0.28%	0.67	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,561.42	-4.57
below	$83,874.92 → $84,103.00	0.27%	0.67	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,320.92	-9.73

Prix observé : $80,554.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$80,193.00 → $80,914.35	0.90%	1.18	0.70	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$84,005.85 → $84,315.00	0.37%	0.51	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,451.85	-5.67

Prix observé : $80,554.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$77,416.60 → $80,244.40	3.59%	3.06	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $309.60	+0.33

Prix observé : $80,554.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	02:05	02:20	+0.38%	+0.50×	+0.52×	-0.21×	15m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	+0.38%	29.75%	0.54%	$56.15M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	02:05	03:05	+0.36%	+0.47×	+0.74×	-0.21×	30m	5m	Low first	0.31	0.00%	+0.36%	40.39%	0.71%	$111.54M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	02:05	06:05	+0.70%	+0.93×	+1.57×	-0.21×	1h55m	5m	Low first	0.19	0.00%	+0.70%	31.06%	1.34%	$306.36M	03:35 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	02:05	14:05	+2.06%	+2.74×	+3.34×	-1.42×	11h15m	7h55m	Low first	0.13	0.00%	+2.06%	52.78%	3.57%	$2.42B	03:35 / 10:45	09:50 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	02:05	02:05	+1.85%	+2.46×	+3.34×	-1.42×	11h15m	7h55m	Low first	0.07	0.00%	+1.85%	41.88%	3.57%	$3.18B	03:35 / 10:45	09:50 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T05:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T05:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}