Observation #35775

← Research Observations / #35775

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$9.5423

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $13,233,498

Synced: 10-15 04:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-15 02:00) Next (10-15 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2424

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 02:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001779%

Annualized-15.58%

Premium-0.00064229

Settled at: 2026-10-15 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,195,722.08

OI (USD)$20,927,208

Mark price$9.5309

Funding next-0.001846%

Day vol (USD)$13,316,840

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 02:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.664%

Change 4h -5.540%

Change 24h -8.764%

Z-score 7d -0.48

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001825%

Avg 24h -0.000062%

Percentile 7d 5.4%

Percentile 30d 2.8%

Δ 4h -0.003075%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.042%

Divergence 1.93

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.593

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.88

OI momentum 4h

-5.114%

Funding +ratio 24h

60.0%

Sign streak

-4

Time: 2026-10-15 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319230	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.602	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 34%	early 15b -0.6ATR	near -2.0ATR	—	0.55	79%	↓ -0.37	value	-2.48	—	#158945	0.71	bull_high	+6.66%	+0.13	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:16	↗
4h #320869	fresh	3h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.376	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 41%	late 11b -2.2ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	3.07	87%	↔ -0.09	below_value	-5.12	—	#159671	0.58	bear_high_confirmed	-2.83%	-0.76	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 00:12	↗
1h anchor #322165	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.486	volatile_reversal	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 48%	late 2b -2.0ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.26	31%	↔ -0.12	below_value	-5.03	inside	#160255	0.70	bear_medium_confirmed	-2.25%	-0.35	15/10 02:00 upd 15/10 03:09	↗
15m #322093	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.575	expansion	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 48%	mid 9b -1.4ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.05	27%	↓ -0.90	below_value	-5.16	—	#160087	0.79	bear_low	-1.30%	-0.23	15/10 02:45 upd 15/10 03:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #201908	fresh	2026-10-15 02:00	0s	0.442	0.265	42/84	2026-10-15 03:00	2026-10-15 03:35
4h #201659	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	3h	0.491	0.178	20/82	2026-10-15 00:00	2026-10-15 00:37
1d #201260	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	7h	0.406	0.494	36/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #160171	fresh	2026-10-15 02:45	0s	$9.9183	$10.1064	$9.5465	hvn	-4.91	7.31
7d #160255	fresh	2026-10-15 02:00	0s	$10.3023	$10.6217	$9.8195	between	-5.03	5.31
30d #159754	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	3h	$11.0289	$11.4937	$10.3217	between	-4.95	4.04

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.3292 → $9.4044	0.80%	0.98	0.58	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.137890	+1.80
below	$9.7220 → $9.7805	0.60%	0.76	0.55	reversion	✓	↓ $0.179663	-2.35
below	$10.0980 → $10.1482	0.50%	0.66	0.55	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.555713	-7.26
below	$10.2651 → $10.3320	0.65%	0.87	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.722847	-9.44

Prix observé : $9.5423. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.3292 → $9.5372	2.20%	1.38	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005107	+0.03
below	$9.6115 → $9.7749	1.69%	1.08	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.069177	-0.46

Prix observé : $9.5423. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$7.6546 → $7.8971	3.12%	0.84	0.96	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.6452	+5.68
above	$8.0991 → $9.0690	11.30%	3.35	0.92	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.473291	+1.63

Prix observé : $9.5423. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T06:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T06:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}