Observation #35791

← Research Observations / #35791

🪙 AAVE page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AAVE

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$149.83

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $10,366,211

Synced: 10-15 04:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-15 02:00) Next (10-15 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AAVE — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2424

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 02:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00033486

Settled at: 2026-10-15 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)410,711.14

OI (USD)$61,471,136

Mark price$149.67

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$10,327,530

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 02:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.225%

Change 4h -1.200%

Change 24h -2.976%

Z-score 7d 0.53

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000246%

Avg 24h 0.000810%

Percentile 7d 3.0% bottom

Percentile 30d 4.6%

Δ 4h -0.000173%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.122%

Divergence 0.35

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.124

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.45

OI momentum 4h

-0.802%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-15 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319294	fresh	7h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.681	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 35%	early 12b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.34	38%	↓ -0.50	below_value	-9.60	—	#158961	0.68	bull_high	+6.66%	+0.68	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:19	↗
4h #320901	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.735	expansion	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 47%	late 6b -2.4ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	1.30	68%	↓ -0.43	below_value	-10.26	—	#159687	0.63	bear_high_confirmed	-2.83%	-0.74	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 00:13	↗
1h anchor #322181	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.444	volatile_reversal	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 44%	late 2b -1.9ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.79	61%	↔ +0.02	below_value	-9.36	inside	#160271	0.69	bear_medium_confirmed	-2.25%	-0.34	15/10 02:00 upd 15/10 03:09	↗
15m #322109	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	0.311	volatile_reversal	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 45%	early 3b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.17	37%	↓ -0.46	below_value	-9.85	—	#160103	0.78	bear_low	-1.30%	-0.13	15/10 02:45 upd 15/10 03:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #201924	fresh	2026-10-15 02:00	0s	0.467	0.286	31/84	2026-10-15 03:00	2026-10-15 03:35
4h #201675	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	3h	0.418	0.196	38/82	2026-10-15 00:00	2026-10-15 00:38
1d #201276	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	7h	0.376	0.464	43/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #160187	fresh	2026-10-15 02:45	0s	$156.57	$161.05	$151.33	between	-5.87	8.46
7d #160271	fresh	2026-10-15 02:00	0s	$170.30	$173.07	$159.33	lvn LVN	-9.36	6.28
30d #159770	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	3h	$166.90	$185.24	$148.56	value	-3.86	9.08

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$147.04 → $148.43	0.94%	1.21	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.4013	+1.22
below	$160.80 → $162.19	0.86%	1.21	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $10.9713	-9.54

Prix observé : $149.83. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$147.04 → $152.82	3.86%	2.65	0.74	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$174.51 → $175.96	0.83%	0.66	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $24.6840	-11.29

Prix observé : $149.83. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$113.12 → $119.34	5.35%	1.54	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $30.4925	+7.55
above	$119.96 → $126.80	5.54%	1.69	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $23.0315	+5.70
above	$128.04 → $133.64	4.28%	1.39	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $16.1923	+4.01

Prix observé : $149.83. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T06:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T06:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}