Observation #35805

← Research Observations / #35805

🪙 FIL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 FIL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.0352

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,316,061

Synced: 10-15 04:00 +1h

← Prev (10-15 02:00) Next (10-15 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · FIL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2424

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 02:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00001892

Settled at: 2026-10-15 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)9,012,575.40

OI (USD)$9,330,719

Mark price$1.0353

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,327,039

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 02:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.003%

Change 4h -3.286%

Change 24h -3.722%

Z-score 7d -0.04

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.2% top

Percentile 30d 91.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.734%

Divergence -0.10

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.006

OI / Vol z-7d

0.28

OI momentum 4h

-3.382%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+157 crowded

Time: 2026-10-15 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319355	fresh	7h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.689	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 38%	early 12b 0.2ATR	near 0.3ATR	near 0.4ATR	0.68	82%	↑ +0.30	above_value	-4.09	—	#158974	0.60	bull_high	+6.66%	+0.87	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:22	↗
4h #320927	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.422	expansion	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 44%	late 5b -1.7ATR	—	—	0.84	76%	↓ -0.80	below_value	-5.73	—	#159700	0.39	bear_high_confirmed	-2.83%	-0.77	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 00:14	↗
1h anchor #322195	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.733	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 48%	late 3b -2.6ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.50	36%	↓ -0.16	below_value	-6.16	—	#160285	0.48	bear_medium_confirmed	-2.25%	-0.54	15/10 02:00 upd 15/10 03:10	↗
15m #322123	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.741	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 9b -1.6ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.08	14%	↓ -0.85	below_value	-6.25	—	#160117	0.59	bear_low	-1.30%	-0.35	15/10 02:45 upd 15/10 03:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #201938	fresh	2026-10-15 02:00	0s	0.363	0.176	77/84	2026-10-15 03:00	2026-10-15 03:36
4h #201688	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	3h	0.315	0.272	67/82	2026-10-15 00:00	2026-10-15 00:38
1d #201289	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	7h	0.453	0.618	27/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #160201	fresh	2026-10-15 02:45	0s	$1.0962	$1.1453	$1.0525	hvn	-6.16	9.37
7d #160285	fresh	2026-10-15 02:00	0s	$1.1657	$1.2247	$1.0658	lvn LVN	-6.16	7.50
30d #159783	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	3h	$0.956004	$1.1537	$0.936455	hvn	2.14	4.33

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.0189 → $1.0243	0.53%	0.54	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.010923	+1.10
below	$1.0700 → $1.0767	0.63%	0.68	0.60	reversion	✓	↓ $0.034778	-3.51
below	$1.1453 → $1.1802	3.01%	3.53	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.110052	-11.12

Prix observé : $1.0352. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.986320 → $1.0393	5.23%	2.50	0.67	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$1.2633 → $1.2753	0.95%	0.57	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.228059	-10.76

Prix observé : $1.0352. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.754000 → $0.797442	5.60%	0.87	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.237758	+4.74
above	$0.814818 → $0.858260	5.19%	0.87	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.176940	+3.53
above	$0.888669 → $0.919078	3.36%	0.61	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.116122	+2.32

Prix observé : $1.0352. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T06:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T06:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}