Observation #35856

← Research Observations / #35856

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,494.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,043,499,760

Synced: 10-15 05:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-15 03:00) Next (10-15 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3485

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 03:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00039408

Settled at: 2026-10-15 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,248.20

OI (USD)$3,196,726,969

Mark price$81,449.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,145,881,685

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 03:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.742%

Change 4h -2.084%

Change 24h +3.956%

Z-score 7d -1.02

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000791%

Avg 24h 0.001160%

Percentile 7d 45.2%

Percentile 30d 20.4%

Δ 4h +0.000215%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.721%

Divergence 2.86 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.766

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.05

OI momentum 4h

-1.812%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+46 crowded

Time: 2026-10-15 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319218	fresh	8h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.551	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 23b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.39	78%	↔ +0.09	below_value	-3.06	—	#158942	—	—	—	—	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:15	↗
4h #322575	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.513	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	50%	noisy_chop 38%	late 11b -1.6ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	1.11	79%	↑ +0.19	below_value	-3.51	—	#160251	—	—	—	—	15/10 00:00 upd 15/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #322573	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.365	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	64%	noisy_chop 40%	early 3b -0.9ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.22	28%	↓ -0.42	below_value	-3.51	—	#160251	—	—	—	—	15/10 03:00 upd 15/10 04:05	↗
15m #322506	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.594	compression	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 7b 1.3ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.90	74%	↓ -0.36	below_value	-3.51	—	#160251	—	—	—	—	15/10 03:45 upd 15/10 04:00	↗
5m #322505	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.346	compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 51%	late 13b 2.8ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	2.80	85%	↑ +0.18	below_value	-3.51	—	#160251	—	—	—	—	15/10 03:55 upd 15/10 04:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #201988	fresh	2026-10-15 03:00	0s	0.523	0.488	13/84	2026-10-15 04:00	2026-10-15 04:35
4h #202072	fresh	2026-10-15 00:00	0s	0.574	0.459	5/84	2026-10-15 04:00	2026-10-15 04:37
1d #201257	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	8h	0.549	0.500	13/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #160335	fresh	2026-10-15 03:45	0s	$81,678.56	$82,100.78	$80,474.48	hvn	-0.63	5.51
7d #160420	fresh	2026-10-15 03:00	0s	$82,992.53	$83,971.50	$81,807.45	between	-2.43	3.51
30d #160505	fresh	2026-10-15 00:00	0s	$83,857.70	$86,842.60	$81,920.13	between	-3.21	5.20

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,193.00 → $80,474.48	0.35%	0.95	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,019.52	+3.45
below	$82,132.05 → $82,382.25	0.30%	0.85	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $638.05	-2.16
below	$83,039.03 → $83,257.95	0.26%	0.74	0.59	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,545.02	-5.23

Prix observé : $81,494.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,193.00 → $80,845.65	0.81%	1.06	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $648.35	+1.05
below	$83,971.50 → $84,315.00	0.41%	0.56	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,477.50	-4.02

Prix observé : $81,494.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$77,311.87 → $80,139.67	3.59%	2.99	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,354.33	+1.43

Prix observé : $81,494.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	04:05	04:20	-0.19%	-0.26×	+0.08×	-0.34×	5m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.19%	35.82%	0.31%	$12.85M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	04:05	05:05	-0.01%	-0.01×	+0.08×	-0.35×	5m	20m	High first	0.01	0.00%	-0.01%	21.19%	0.32%	$63.44M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	04:05	08:05	-0.61%	-0.83×	+0.08×	-0.93×	5m	3h	High first	0.20	0.00%	-0.61%	29.51%	0.75%	$290.40M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	04:05	16:05	+1.28%	+1.73×	+2.09×	-2.71×	9h15m	5h55m	Low first	0.09	0.00%	+1.28%	51.24%	3.54%	$2.52B	10:55 / 11:40	08:30 / 09:30	—	100%
1d	computed	04:05	04:05	+1.20%	+1.63×	+2.09×	-2.71×	9h15m	5h55m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+1.20%	41.12%	3.54%	$3.02B	10:55 / 11:40	08:30 / 09:30	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}