Observation #35917

← Research Observations / #35917

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.349000

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,867,993

Synced: 10-15 05:01 +1h

← Prev (10-15 03:00) Next (10-15 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3485

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 03:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00003297

Settled at: 2026-10-15 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)14,267,277.80

OI (USD)$4,974,857

Mark price$0.348690

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,001,460

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 03:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.027%

Change 4h -2.771%

Change 24h —

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.2% top

Percentile 30d 67.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +2.415%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.492

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

-4.466%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1434 crowded

Time: 2026-10-15 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 117 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319454	fresh	8h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.409	compression	bear_high	47%	noisy_chop 41%	late 40b -1.6ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.72	32%	↔ -0.10	below_value	-1.88	—	#158999	0.72	bull_high	+6.66%	-0.93	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:26	↗
4h #322736	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	0.382	expansion	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 12b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.32	25%	↔ -0.07	below_value	-2.91	inside	#160482	0.63	bear_high_confirmed	-2.09%	-0.59	15/10 00:00 upd 15/10 04:19	↗
1h anchor #322735	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.496	volatile_reversal	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 44%	early 3b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.43	54%	↓ -0.34	below_value	-2.91	—	#160482	0.66	bear_medium	-1.46%	-0.19	15/10 03:00 upd 15/10 04:19	↗
15m #322480	fresh	15min	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.632	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 45%	early 6b 0.2ATR	near 0.1ATR	near -0.3ATR	0.03	1%	↓ -0.77	below_value	-3.32	—	#160312	0.74	range_low	-0.61%	+0.05	15/10 03:30 upd 15/10 03:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #202050	fresh	2026-10-15 03:00	0s	0.506	0.475	17/84	2026-10-15 04:00	2026-10-15 04:37
4h #202134	fresh	2026-10-15 00:00	0s	0.441	0.278	31/84	2026-10-15 04:00	2026-10-15 04:39
1d #201314	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	8h	0.238	0.141	78/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #160397	fresh	2026-10-15 03:45	0s	$0.359380	$0.363219	$0.344487	value	-3.29	5.94
7d #160482	fresh	2026-10-15 03:00	0s	$0.367754	$0.378467	$0.360373	between	-2.91	2.80
30d #160567	fresh	2026-10-15 00:00	0s	$0.443113	$0.516861	$0.409276	lvn LVN	-8.53	9.47

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.334660 → $0.337117	0.73%	0.78	0.46	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.011883	+3.77
below	$0.363526 → $0.371510	2.17%	2.53	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.014526	-4.61

Prix observé : $0.349000. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.334660 → $0.344183	2.81%	1.48	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004817	+0.75
below	$0.386086 → $0.391800	1.47%	0.89	0.94	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.037086	-5.75

Prix observé : $0.349000. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.334660 → $0.355483	6.03%	1.83	0.76	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.388453 → $0.407540	4.80%	1.68	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.039453	-3.47
below	$0.530743 → $0.542890	2.26%	1.07	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.181743	-16.00

Prix observé : $0.349000. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}