Observation #35920

← Research Observations / #35920

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.7974

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,987,963

Synced: 10-15 05:01 +1h

← Prev (10-15 03:00) Next (10-15 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3485

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 03:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00019040

Settled at: 2026-10-15 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,223,321.00

OI (USD)$9,408,768

Mark price$1.8013

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,916,404

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 03:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.133%

Change 4h -1.672%

Change 24h -11.355%

Z-score 7d 0.23

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001060%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.729%

Divergence 1.24

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.487

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.09

OI momentum 4h

+3.132%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+19 crowded

Time: 2026-10-15 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 160 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319463	fresh	8h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.459	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 46b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.69	44%	↓ -0.47	value	-0.68	—	#159002	0.48	bull_high	+6.66%	-0.60	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:26	↗
4h #322745	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.487	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	45%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 9b -1.4ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	0.88	48%	↔ -0.14	below_value	-3.25	inside	#160485	0.54	bear_high_confirmed	-2.09%	-0.48	15/10 00:00 upd 15/10 04:19	↗
1h anchor #322744	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.587	volatile_reversal	bear_high	47%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 2b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.82	77%	↓ -0.22	below_value	-3.25	—	#160485	0.71	bear_medium	-1.46%	-0.33	15/10 03:00 upd 15/10 04:19	↗
15m #322483	fresh	15min	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.587	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 43%	early 7b -0.3ATR	—	near -1.0ATR	0.05	7%	↔ -0.10	below_value	-3.34	—	#160315	0.70	range_low	-0.61%	-0.03	15/10 03:30 upd 15/10 03:48	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #202053	fresh	2026-10-15 03:00	0s	0.505	0.403	18/84	2026-10-15 04:00	2026-10-15 04:37
4h #202137	fresh	2026-10-15 00:00	0s	0.487	0.328	17/84	2026-10-15 04:00	2026-10-15 04:39
1d #201317	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	8h	0.315	0.269	65/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #160400	fresh	2026-10-15 03:45	0s	$1.8877	$1.9150	$1.8013	between	-6.51	8.20
7d #160485	fresh	2026-10-15 03:00	0s	$1.8946	$1.9368	$1.8375	between	-3.25	3.32
30d #160570	fresh	2026-10-15 00:00	0s	$2.0486	$2.1876	$1.9389	lvn LVN	-4.95	4.85

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7392 → $1.7510	0.68%	0.85	0.56	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.046380	+3.34
below	$1.8190 → $1.8352	0.89%	1.17	0.56	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.021585	-1.56
below	$1.8397 → $1.8530	0.72%	0.96	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.042270	-3.05

Prix observé : $1.7974. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7344 → $1.7700	2.03%	1.19	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.027391	+0.91

Prix observé : $1.7974. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$1.7000 → $1.8170	6.65%	2.28	0.84	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$2.2558 → $2.2851	1.29%	0.57	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.458445	-8.94

Prix observé : $1.7974. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}