Observation #35927

← Research Observations / #35927

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.077825

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $12,784,182

Synced: 10-15 05:02 +1h

← Prev (10-15 03:00) Next (10-15 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3485

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 03:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000225%

Annualized-1.97%

Premium-0.00051800

Settled at: 2026-10-15 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)656,613,218.00

OI (USD)$51,098,297

Mark price$0.077821

Funding next-0.000293%

Day vol (USD)$12,962,024

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 03:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.521%

Change 4h -1.294%

Change 24h +0.671%

Z-score 7d -1.78

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.002421%

Avg 24h 0.001053%

Percentile 7d 2.4% bottom

Percentile 30d 0.6%

Δ 4h -0.003671%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.742%

Divergence 1.00

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.000

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.69

OI momentum 4h

+0.649%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-15 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319484	fresh	8h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.387	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 42%	late 19b -1.5ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.31	47%	↓ -0.84	above_value	+0.07	—	#159009	0.54	bull_high	+6.66%	-0.99	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:26	↗
4h #322767	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.571	volatile_reversal	bear_high	45%	noisy_chop 40%	late 12b -1.5ATR	near -1.5ATR	—	0.79	41%	↔ -0.15	below_value	-1.60	inside	#160492	0.54	bear_high_confirmed	-2.09%	-0.77	15/10 00:00 upd 15/10 04:20	↗
1h anchor #322766	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.373	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 3b -1.1ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.53	62%	↓ -0.44	below_value	-1.60	inside	#160492	0.70	bear_medium	-1.46%	-0.24	15/10 03:00 upd 15/10 04:20	↗
15m #322567	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.750	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 41%	early 8b 0.0ATR	—	near -0.6ATR	0.22	29%	↔ -0.01	below_value	-1.86	—	#160322	0.71	range_low	-0.46%	+0.03	15/10 03:45 upd 15/10 04:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #202059	fresh	2026-10-15 03:00	0s	0.478	0.389	36/84	2026-10-15 04:00	2026-10-15 04:37
4h #202143	fresh	2026-10-15 00:00	0s	0.404	0.217	39/84	2026-10-15 04:00	2026-10-15 04:39
1d #201323	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	8h	0.248	0.192	76/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #160407	fresh	2026-10-15 03:45	0s	$0.079917	$0.080975	$0.077384	value	-2.95	5.07
7d #160492	fresh	2026-10-15 03:00	0s	$0.080026	$0.085295	$0.079097	between	-1.60	4.50
30d #160577	fresh	2026-10-15 00:00	0s	$0.095869	$0.107105	$0.079546	lvn LVN	-7.25	10.74

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.074882 → $0.076293	1.87%	1.99	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001532	+2.16
below	$0.081873 → $0.082579	0.86%	1.00	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004048	-5.71

Prix observé : $0.077825. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.074882 → $0.076617	2.29%	1.26	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001208	+0.88
below	$0.088270 → $0.089757	1.67%	1.08	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.010445	-7.58

Prix observé : $0.077825. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.074882 → $0.079546	6.04%	1.82	0.80	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.117704 → $0.125760	6.62%	3.14	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.039879	-15.54

Prix observé : $0.077825. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}