Observation #35977

← Research Observations / #35977

🪙 JUP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 JUP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 05:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

04:00–05:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

05:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

06:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.299300

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,430,025

Synced: 10-15 06:01 +1h

← Prev (10-15 04:00) Next (10-15 06:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · JUP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2923

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 04:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.003493%

Annualized-30.60%

Premium-0.00077948

Settled at: 2026-10-15 05:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)34,968,226.00

OI (USD)$10,481,726

Mark price$0.299750

Funding next-0.003453%

Day vol (USD)$5,358,632

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 04:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.065%

Change 4h -1.790%

Change 24h -10.609%

Z-score 7d 0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.003764%

Avg 24h -0.001241%

Percentile 7d 5.4%

Percentile 30d 1.9%

Δ 4h +0.004749%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.138%

Divergence -0.23

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.989

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.50

OI momentum 4h

+6.389%

Funding +ratio 24h

40.0%

Sign streak

-6

Time: 2026-10-15 04:00:00 OI observed: 03:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 04:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319370	fresh	9h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.692	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 36%	early 12b -0.3ATR	near 0.1ATR	near 0.4ATR	0.31	55%	↓ -0.51	below_value	-12.27	—	#158977	0.58	bull_high	+6.66%	+0.72	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:23	↗
4h #322661	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.313	compression	bear_high	53%	choppy 49%	late 22b -2.7ATR	—	—	0.52	24%	↓ -0.39	below_value	-12.50	—	#160457	0.49	bear_high_confirmed	-2.09%	-0.93	15/10 00:00 upd 15/10 04:16	↗
1h anchor #323093	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.524	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 39%	late 4b -2.3ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.63	41%	↑ +0.16	below_value	-13.24	inside	#160710	0.48	bear_medium	-1.62%	-0.48	15/10 04:00 upd 15/10 05:10	↗
15m #323026	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.490	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 41%	early 11b -1.1ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.62	50%	↓ -0.29	below_value	-12.50	—	#160457	0.69	range_low	-0.60%	-0.09	15/10 04:45 upd 15/10 05:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #202192	fresh	2026-10-15 04:00	0s	0.405	0.211	72/83	2026-10-15 05:00	2026-10-15 05:36
4h #202109	fresh	2026-10-15 00:00	1h	0.297	0.136	78/84	2026-10-15 04:00	2026-10-15 04:38
1d #201292	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	9h	0.404	0.528	37/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #160626	fresh	2026-10-15 04:45	0s	$0.301853	$0.317713	$0.297853	hvn	-1.05	8.18
7d #160710	fresh	2026-10-15 04:00	0s	$0.366322	$0.380831	$0.339907	lvn LVN	-13.25	8.09
30d #160542	fresh	2026-10-15 00:00	1h	$0.331544	$0.375917	$0.308229	between	-2.91	6.00

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.308611 → $0.313024	1.42%	1.82	0.53	reversion	✓	↓ $0.009311	-3.84
below	$0.322127 → $0.326264	1.28%	1.70	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.022827	-9.40

Prix observé : $0.299300. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.296750 → $0.299726	1.00%	0.59	0.66	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.301959 → $0.316096	4.57%	2.79	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.002659	-0.53
below	$0.382320 → $0.386040	0.97%	0.74	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.083020	-16.41

Prix observé : $0.299300. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.216475 → $0.222492	2.74%	0.53	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.076808	+6.80
above	$0.228508 → $0.254079	10.60%	2.27	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.045221	+4.01
below	$0.381933 → $0.387950	1.56%	0.53	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.082633	-7.32

Prix observé : $0.299300. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T08:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T08:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}