Observation #36361

← Research Observations / #36361

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 09:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

08:00–09:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

09:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

10:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.833650

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,486,690

Synced: 10-15 10:02 +1h

← Prev (10-15 08:00) Next (10-15 10:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1162

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 08:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00003633

Settled at: 2026-10-15 09:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,098,064.00

OI (USD)$31,066,327

Mark price$0.837411

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$6,132,004

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 08:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.116%

Change 4h -0.189%

Change 24h -5.432%

Z-score 7d 0.21

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001039%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 69.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.414%

Divergence -0.62

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.654

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.46

OI momentum 4h

+0.738%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+8 crowded

Time: 2026-10-15 08:00:00 OI observed: 07:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 08:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319508	fresh	13h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.616	expansion	bull_high	69%	noisy_chop 36%	early 12b 1.1ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	0.69	86%	↓ -0.30	above_value	+0.52	—	#159017	0.64	bull_high	+6.66%	+0.99	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:27	↗
4h #324464	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.425	expansion_after_compression	range_high	33%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 5b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.62	40%	↔ -0.12	below_value	-4.66	—	#161269	0.50	bear_high_confirmed	-2.70%	-0.59	15/10 04:00 upd 15/10 08:23	↗
1h anchor #324810	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.524	normal	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 9b -1.6ATR	—	—	0.63	42%	↔ -0.05	value	-4.66	—	#161522	0.56	bear_medium	-2.45%	-0.29	15/10 08:00 upd 15/10 09:12	↗
15m #324725	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.501	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 40%	early 4b -0.8ATR	near -0.8ATR	near 0.4ATR	0.10	3%	↑ +0.24	below_value	-4.66	—	#161269	0.71	bear_low_confirmed	-1.33%	+0.04	15/10 08:45 upd 15/10 09:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #202660	fresh	2026-10-15 08:00	0s	0.448	0.292	46/84	2026-10-15 09:00	2026-10-15 09:37
4h #202574	fresh	2026-10-15 04:00	1h	0.449	0.438	29/85	2026-10-15 08:00	2026-10-15 08:39
1d #201331	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	13h	0.590	0.796	11/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #161438	fresh	2026-10-15 08:45	0s	$0.870908	$0.882267	$0.842317	between	-5.36	5.75
7d #161522	fresh	2026-10-15 08:00	0s	$0.903665	$0.958387	$0.831001	value	-4.66	8.48
30d #161354	fresh	2026-10-15 04:00	1h	$0.796909	$0.958386	$0.767006	hvn	1.10	5.77

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.817250 → $0.831350	1.71%	2.03	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002300	+0.33
below	$0.893233 → $0.900283	0.79%	1.01	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.059583	-8.57

Prix observé : $0.833650. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.778970 → $0.793323	1.83%	0.95	0.52	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.040327	+2.68
below	$0.953004 → $0.961975	0.94%	0.60	0.43	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.119354	-7.94
below	$0.974534 → $0.994270	2.00%	1.31	0.57	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.140884	-9.37

Prix observé : $0.833650. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.539742 → $0.583600	7.81%	1.32	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.250050	+7.54
above	$0.599549 → $0.631445	5.18%	0.96	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.202205	+6.10
above	$0.739097 → $0.763019	3.19%	0.72	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.070631	+2.13

Prix observé : $0.833650. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T12:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T12:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}