Observation #36398

← Research Observations / #36398

🪙 FIL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 FIL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 10:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

09:00–10:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

10:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

11:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.0093

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,959,394

Synced: 10-15 11:00 +1h

← Prev (10-15 09:00) Next (10-15 11:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · FIL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.197

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 09:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00003054

Settled at: 2026-10-15 10:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)8,766,973.00

OI (USD)$8,799,411

Mark price$1.0037

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,007,483

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 09:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.120%

Change 4h -0.682%

Change 24h -6.075%

Z-score 7d -0.08

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.2% top

Percentile 30d 91.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.568%

Divergence -0.58

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.249

OI / Vol z-7d

0.40

OI momentum 4h

+1.012%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+164 crowded

Time: 2026-10-15 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319355	fresh	14h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.689	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 38%	early 12b 0.2ATR	near 0.3ATR	near 0.4ATR	0.68	82%	↑ +0.30	above_value	-4.09	—	#158974	0.60	bull_high	+6.66%	+0.87	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:22	↗
4h #324326	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.471	normal	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 45%	late 7b -1.8ATR	—	—	0.39	43%	↓ -0.78	below_value	-6.85	—	#161223	0.39	bear_high_confirmed	-2.70%	-0.91	15/10 04:00 upd 15/10 08:15	↗
1h anchor #325157	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.734	normal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 46%	late 10b -2.2ATR	near -0.9ATR	—	1.14	52%	↑ +0.50	below_value	-7.94	inside	#161643	0.48	bear_medium_confirmed	-2.81%	-0.55	15/10 09:00 upd 15/10 10:11	↗
15m #325087	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.524	expansion	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 46%	late 1b -2.2ATR	—	—	2.01	80%	↔ +0.11	below_value	-7.32	—	#161476	0.63	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.63%	-0.27	15/10 09:45 upd 15/10 10:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #202698	fresh	2026-10-15 09:00	0s	0.384	0.140	75/82	2026-10-15 10:00	2026-10-15 10:36
4h #202529	fresh	2026-10-15 04:00	2h	0.327	0.305	67/85	2026-10-15 08:00	2026-10-15 08:38
1d #201289	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	14h	0.453	0.618	27/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #161560	fresh	2026-10-15 09:45	0s	$1.0400	$1.0818	$1.0160	lvn LVN	-3.34	7.16
7d #161643	fresh	2026-10-15 09:00	0s	$1.1657	$1.2295	$1.0658	lvn LVN	-7.94	8.32
30d #161308	fresh	2026-10-15 04:00	2h	$0.956004	$1.1537	$0.936455	hvn	1.53	4.54

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$1.0033 → $1.0177	1.42%	1.56	0.83	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$1.0675 → $1.0784	1.02%	1.19	0.68	reversion	✓	↓ $0.058157	-6.33

Prix observé : $1.0093. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.986320 → $1.0224	3.60%	1.83	0.67	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$1.0489 → $1.0634	1.37%	0.73	0.50	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.039632	-2.01
below	$1.2633 → $1.2753	0.95%	0.61	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.253959	-12.90

Prix observé : $1.0093. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.754000 → $0.797442	5.60%	0.91	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.211858	+4.43
above	$0.814818 → $0.853916	4.69%	0.82	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.155384	+3.25
above	$0.875637 → $0.914734	4.37%	0.82	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.094566	+1.98

Prix observé : $1.0093. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T13:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T13:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}