Observation #36416

← Research Observations / #36416

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 10:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

09:00–10:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

10:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

11:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.177610

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,266,242

Synced: 10-15 11:01 +1h

← Prev (10-15 09:00) Next (10-15 11:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.197

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 09:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001606%

Annualized-14.07%

Premium-0.00062846

Settled at: 2026-10-15 10:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)75,300,594.00

OI (USD)$13,334,229

Mark price$0.177080

Funding next-0.001612%

Day vol (USD)$3,503,716

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 09:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -3.444%

Change 4h -3.387%

Change 24h —

Z-score 7d -5.95 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000570%

Avg 24h 0.000199%

Percentile 7d 4.8% bottom

Percentile 30d 4.3%

Δ 4h +0.000763%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.748%

Divergence 1.80

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.718

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.17

OI momentum 4h

-4.037%

Funding +ratio 24h

60.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-15 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 144 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319436	fresh	14h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.505	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 44%	late 15b -1.7ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.41	61%	↓ -0.67	below_value	-9.71	—	#158993	0.58	bull_high	+6.66%	-0.89	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:25	↗
4h #324383	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.710	expansion	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 46%	late 13b -2.2ATR	—	—	0.83	40%	↔ -0.10	below_value	-9.17	—	#161242	0.73	bear_high_confirmed	-2.70%	-0.68	15/10 04:00 upd 15/10 08:19	↗
1h anchor #325176	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.746	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 4b -1.5ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	1.25	90%	↑ +0.78	below_value	-10.01	—	#161662	0.80	bear_medium_confirmed	-2.81%	-0.17	15/10 09:00 upd 15/10 10:12	↗
15m #325102	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.629	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	51%	noisy_chop 41%	late 6b -1.7ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.93	91%	↑ +0.95	below_value	-9.84	—	#161495	0.83	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.63%	-0.02	15/10 09:45 upd 15/10 10:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #202717	fresh	2026-10-15 09:00	0s	0.532	0.311	18/82	2026-10-15 10:00	2026-10-15 10:36
4h #202548	fresh	2026-10-15 04:00	2h	0.459	0.257	25/85	2026-10-15 08:00	2026-10-15 08:39
1d #201308	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	14h	0.286	0.261	71/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #161579	fresh	2026-10-15 09:45	0s	$0.178765	$0.180988	$0.177270	value	-1.16	3.72
7d #161662	fresh	2026-10-15 09:00	0s	$0.197431	$0.203180	$0.186572	lvn LVN	-10.01	8.39
30d #161327	fresh	2026-10-15 04:00	2h	$0.219720	$0.235136	$0.200518	lvn LVN	-10.26	8.79

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.175330 → $0.176704	0.78%	1.37	0.56	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000906	+0.91
below	$0.183979 → $0.185030	0.57%	1.05	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006369	-6.36

Prix observé : $0.177610. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.175330 → $0.177630	1.30%	1.16	0.63	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.180951 → $0.182740	0.98%	0.90	0.55	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.003341	-1.69
below	$0.184528 → $0.186572	1.10%	1.03	0.58	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.006918	-3.49
below	$0.204713 → $0.205990	0.62%	0.65	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.027103	-13.69

Prix observé : $0.177610. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.172390 → $0.184290	6.67%	3.02	0.66	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.233514 → $0.237300	1.61%	0.96	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.055904	-14.20

Prix observé : $0.177610. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T13:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T13:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}