Observation #36446

← Research Observations / #36446

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 11:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

10:00–11:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

11:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

12:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,849.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,133,797,374

Synced: 10-15 12:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-15 10:00) Next (10-15 12:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6919

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 10:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000715%

Annualized6.27%

Premium-0.00044279

Settled at: 2026-10-15 11:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,013.40

OI (USD)$3,274,616,662

Mark price$81,838.00

Funding next0.000699%

Day vol (USD)$4,013,160,850

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 10:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +1.958%

Change 4h +1.642%

Change 24h +2.910%

Z-score 7d 2.70 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000174%

Avg 24h 0.000961%

Percentile 7d 16.1%

Percentile 30d 5.0%

Δ 4h -0.000438%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +1.042%

Divergence 0.34

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.810

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.97

OI momentum 4h

+2.017%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-15 10:00:00 OI observed: 09:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 10:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319218	fresh	15h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.551	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 23b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.39	78%	↔ +0.09	below_value	-3.06	—	#158942	—	—	—	—	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:15	↗
4h #324249	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.517	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	50%	noisy_chop 37%	late 12b -1.6ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.49	34%	↔ +0.07	below_value	-3.54	—	#161017	—	—	—	—	15/10 04:00 upd 15/10 08:05	↗
1h anchor #325527	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.367	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 1b 0.6ATR	—	—	2.54	99%	↑ +0.38	below_value	-4.81	—	#161610	—	—	—	—	15/10 10:00 upd 15/10 11:05	↗
15m #325461	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.612	volatile_reversal	range_medium	30%	noisy_chop 41%	late 4b 1.7ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	1.24	90%	↑ +0.79	below_value	-4.81	—	#161610	—	—	—	—	15/10 10:45 upd 15/10 11:00	↗
5m #325460	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.765	volatile_reversal	bull_low	32%	noisy_chop 50%	late 12b 1.9ATR	—	near -0.7ATR	0.31	63%	↓ -0.36	below_value	-4.81	—	#161610	—	—	—	—	15/10 10:55 upd 15/10 11:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #202747	fresh	2026-10-15 10:00	0s	0.665	0.531	15/82	2026-10-15 11:00	2026-10-15 11:35
4h #202495	fresh	2026-10-15 04:00	3h	0.522	0.428	13/85	2026-10-15 08:00	2026-10-15 08:37
1d #201257	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	15h	0.549	0.500	13/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #161693	fresh	2026-10-15 10:45	0s	$81,640.56	$81,963.55	$80,847.78	value	0.47	2.52
7d #161776	fresh	2026-10-15 10:00	0s	$82,997.39	$84,047.66	$81,679.78	value	-1.68	3.47
30d #161274	fresh	2026-10-15 04:00	3h	$83,857.70	$86,842.60	$81,920.13	between	-3.19	5.28

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,319.25	0.73%	1.32	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,529.75	+3.45

Prix observé : $81,849.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,495.83	0.95%	1.12	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,353.17	+1.98

Prix observé : $81,849.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$77,311.87 → $80,139.67	3.59%	3.03	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,709.33	+1.83

Prix observé : $81,849.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	11:05	11:20	+0.11%	+0.13×	+0.24×	-0.33×	15m	5m	Low first	0.57	0.00%	+0.11%	42.91%	0.48%	$104.90M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	11:05	12:05	+0.13%	+0.15×	+0.61×	-0.33×	40m	5m	Low first	0.23	0.00%	+0.13%	23.37%	0.79%	$318.46M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	11:05	15:05	+0.35%	+0.41×	+0.62×	-0.42×	2h15m	1h30m	Low first	0.09	0.00%	+0.35%	35.28%	0.88%	$974.47M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	11:05	23:05	-0.15%	-0.17×	+0.62×	-0.42×	2h15m	1h30m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	-0.15%	29.00%	0.88%	$1.40B	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	11:05	11:05	-0.44%	-0.52×	+1.03×	-0.75×	20h25m	12h40m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	-0.44%	32.08%	1.51%	$2.59B	07:25 / —	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T14:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T14:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}