Observation #36819

← Research Observations / #36819

🪙 JUP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 JUP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.311240

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $9,898,499

Synced: 10-15 16:01 +1h

← Prev (10-15 14:00) Next (10-15 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · JUP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.8714

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 14:46:14 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.003083%

Annualized-27.01%

Premium-0.00074664

Settled at: 2026-10-15 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)32,915,940.00

OI (USD)$10,211,742

Mark price$0.310237

Funding next-0.003409%

Day vol (USD)$9,800,805

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 14:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.130%

Change 4h -0.829%

Change 24h -15.038%

Z-score 7d -0.02

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.005020%

Avg 24h -0.002628%

Percentile 7d 4.2% bottom

Percentile 30d 1.0%

Δ 4h +0.003356%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.293%

Divergence 0.32

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.051

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.22

OI momentum 4h

+4.720%

Funding +ratio 24h

40.0%

Sign streak

-7

Time: 2026-10-15 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319370	fresh	19h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.692	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 36%	early 12b -0.3ATR	near 0.1ATR	near 0.4ATR	0.31	55%	↓ -0.51	below_value	-12.27	—	#158977	0.58	bull_high	+6.66%	+0.72	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:23	↗
4h #325983	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.646	expansion	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 46%	late 24b -1.1ATR	—	—	3.65	95%	↔ +0.11	below_value	-7.80	—	#161976	0.50	bear_high	-0.95%	-0.85	15/10 08:00 upd 15/10 12:15	↗
1h anchor #327165	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.402	volatile_reversal	bear_high	48%	noisy_chop 35%	mid 5b 0.5ATR	—	—	0.43	50%	↑ +0.57	below_value	-8.28	—	#162559	0.53	range_high	-0.09%	-0.39	15/10 14:00 upd 15/10 15:10	↗
15m #327098	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	0.503	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 43%	early 6b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.52	84%	↓ -0.84	below_value	-8.39	—	#162391	0.69	bull_low	+0.85%	+0.29	15/10 14:45 upd 15/10 15:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #203196	fresh	2026-10-15 14:00	0s	0.502	0.435	63/84	2026-10-15 15:00	2026-10-15 15:36
4h #202947	fresh	2026-10-15 08:00	3h	0.588	0.407	36/82	2026-10-15 12:00	2026-10-15 12:38
1d #201292	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	19h	0.404	0.528	37/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #162474	fresh	2026-10-15 14:45	0s	$0.299615	$0.309719	$0.291448	between	3.55	5.58
7d #162559	fresh	2026-10-15 14:00	0s	$0.366162	$0.385229	$0.327624	between	-8.28	8.69
30d #162059	fresh	2026-10-15 08:00	3h	$0.331544	$0.375917	$0.306725	value	-1.60	5.71

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.288680 → $0.291725	1.05%	0.93	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.019515	+5.96
below	$0.315810 → $0.319409	1.13%	1.10	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004570	-1.40

Prix observé : $0.311240. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.304095 → $0.308152	1.33%	0.61	0.43	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.003088	+0.47
below	$0.319511 → $0.325190	1.76%	0.86	0.41	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.008271	-1.25
below	$0.343851 → $0.349530	1.64%	0.86	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.032611	-4.92
below	$0.381983 → $0.386040	1.06%	0.61	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.070743	-10.67

Prix observé : $0.311240. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.216475 → $0.223996	3.41%	0.62	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.087244	+7.20
above	$0.228508 → $0.254079	10.60%	2.11	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.057161	+4.71

Prix observé : $0.311240. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T18:46:14+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 826,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T18:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}