Observation #37208

← Research Observations / #37208

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.935670

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $6,900,097

Synced: 10-15 20:03 +1.1h

← Prev (10-15 18:00) Next (10-15 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6667

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 18:46:14 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00007489

Settled at: 2026-10-15 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,154,906.00

OI (USD)$35,654,615

Mark price$0.934470

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$6,953,714

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.099%

Change 4h -0.026%

Change 24h -1.864%

Z-score 7d -0.19

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001039%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 69.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +4.034%

Divergence 1.64

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.519

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.05

OI momentum 4h

-3.313%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+18 crowded

Time: 2026-10-15 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #319508	fresh	23h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.616	expansion	bull_high	69%	noisy_chop 36%	early 12b 1.1ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	0.69	86%	↓ -0.30	above_value	+0.52	—	#159017	0.64	bull_high	+6.66%	+0.99	13/10 20:00 upd 14/10 20:27	↗
4h #327734	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.592	expansion	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 34%	early 4b 0.6ATR	—	—	1.31	68%	↔ +0.06	above_value	+0.40	—	#162774	0.51	bear_high	-0.96%	+0.17	15/10 12:00 upd 15/10 16:21	↗
1h anchor #328924	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.500	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 45%	late 4b 2.7ATR	—	—	1.82	79%	↑ +0.42	above_value	+1.86	—	#163375	0.59	range_medium	-0.04%	+0.52	15/10 18:00 upd 15/10 19:12	↗
15m #328837	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.381	normal	bull_high	68%	ranging_calm 52%	late 7b 3.1ATR	—	—	0.90	73%	↑ +0.16	above_value	+0.41	—	#163203	0.71	range_low	+0.66%	+0.50	15/10 18:45 upd 15/10 19:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #203665	fresh	2026-10-15 18:00	0s	0.691	0.673	7/85	2026-10-15 19:00	2026-10-15 19:37
4h #203410	fresh	2026-10-15 12:00	3h	0.574	0.648	21/85	2026-10-15 16:00	2026-10-15 16:39
1d #201331	fresh	2026-10-13 20:00	23h	0.590	0.796	11/79	2026-10-14 20:00	2026-10-14 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #163289	fresh	2026-10-15 18:45	0s	$0.890218	$0.896945	$0.836915	between	5.60	7.39
7d #163375	fresh	2026-10-15 18:00	0s	$0.902628	$0.955596	$0.856387	hvn	1.86	5.58
30d #162859	fresh	2026-10-15 12:00	3h	$0.801458	$0.950540	$0.767667	value	2.92	5.09

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.817250 → $0.831740	1.76%	1.78	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.103930	+12.80
above	$0.912470 → $0.926960	1.58%	1.78	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.008710	+1.07

Prix observé : $0.935670. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.792490 → $0.812668	2.51%	1.13	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.123002	+6.91
above	$0.821076 → $0.831164	1.22%	0.57	0.50	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.104506	+5.87
below	$0.979136 → $0.994270	1.53%	0.85	0.61	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.043466	-2.44

Prix observé : $0.935670. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.533112 → $0.584794	9.25%	1.44	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.350876	+9.77
above	$0.600695 → $0.628524	4.53%	0.77	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.307146	+8.55
above	$0.739838 → $0.759716	2.65%	0.55	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.175954	+4.90

Prix observé : $0.935670. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T22:46:14+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 826,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-15T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}