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← Research Observations / #37371
🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context
🪙 XPL
Market snapshot at
2026-10-15 21:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
20:00–21:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
21:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
22:16 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.085669
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $34,273,130
Synced: 10-15 22:02 +1h
← Prev (10-15 20:00) Next (10-15 22:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationmixed_dispersion
Leadershipmixed
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.602
evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 20:46:22 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium0.00019883
Settled at: 2026-10-15 21:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)746,855,812.00
OI (USD)$63,867,375
Mark price$0.085515
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$34,294,637
Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 20:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +0.477%
Change 4h -0.329%
Change 24h +10.127%
Z-score 7d 0.45
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.000821%
Percentile 7d 99.4% top
Percentile 30d 82.2%
Δ 4h -0.001848%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -0.671%
Divergence -0.13
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
1.879
OI / Vol z-7d
-1.01
OI momentum 4h
-3.777%
Funding +ratio 24h
84.0%
Sign streak
+14 crowded
Time: 2026-10-15 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#329616
 fresh 1h ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.387 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 41% mid 20b -0.5ATR near -0.5ATR — 1.45 93% ↓ -0.69 value +3.22 — #163537 0.54 bull_high +7.23% -0.99
14/10 20:00
upd 15/10 20:32
 ↗
4h
#329555
 fresh 1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.633 volatile_reversal bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 35% mid 5b 1.0ATR — near 0.2ATR 1.07 65% ↔ +0.06 value +3.22 — #163537 0.55 bear_high -1.12% +0.26
15/10 16:00
upd 15/10 20:29
 ↗
1h anchor
#329951
 fresh 0s ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive 0.794 expansion_after_compression bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 50% mid 5b 1.1ATR — — 0.20 59% ↑ +0.54 value +3.48 — #163796 0.61 range_medium -0.17% +0.65
15/10 20:00
upd 15/10 21:12
 ↗
15m
#329864
 fresh 0s ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong grind 0.623 compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 45% late 20b -0.1ATR — — 0.04 8% ↓ -0.87 value +3.22 — #163537 0.51 range_low +0.46% -0.30
15/10 20:45
upd 15/10 21:04
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#203997
 fresh 2026-10-15 20:00 0s 0.603 0.639 21/86 2026-10-15 21:00 2026-10-15 21:37
4h
#203825
 fresh 2026-10-15 16:00 1h 0.564 0.408 11/86 2026-10-15 20:00 2026-10-15 20:40
1d
#203910
 fresh 2026-10-14 20:00 1h 0.451 0.439 57/85 2026-10-15 20:00 2026-10-15 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#163709
 fresh 2026-10-15 20:45 0s $0.085419 $0.087981 $0.080236 hvn 0.42 13.00
7d
#163796
 fresh 2026-10-15 20:00 0s $0.080026 $0.086038 $0.078601 value 3.48 4.59
30d
#163623
 fresh 2026-10-15 16:00 1h $0.095869 $0.107105 $0.079546 value -3.34 8.76

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.074882 → $0.076591 2.26% 2.87 0.73 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.009078 +15.23
above $0.078755 → $0.080236 1.86% 2.48 0.61 reversion ✓ ↑ $0.005433 +9.12

Prix observé : $0.085669. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.074882 → $0.076989 2.78% 1.30 0.79 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.008680 +5.35
below $0.088270 → $0.089757 1.67% 0.92 0.74 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.002601 -1.60

Prix observé : $0.085669. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.074882 → $0.079546 6.04% 1.48 0.74 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.006123 +1.95
below $0.117704 → $0.125760 6.62% 2.56 0.72 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.032035 -10.18

Prix observé : $0.085669. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T00:46:22+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 818,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T00:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}