Observation #37391

← Research Observations / #37391

🪙 OP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 OP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.136770

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,624,930

Synced: 10-15 23:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-15 21:00) Next (10-15 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · OP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5572

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 21:46:21 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00000342

Settled at: 2026-10-15 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)34,452,691.60

OI (USD)$4,715,195

Mark price$0.136860

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,212,043

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 21:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.625%

Change 4h -0.853%

Change 24h -5.263%

Z-score 7d -0.43

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 100.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.703%

Divergence -0.22

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.142

OI / Vol z-7d

0.76

OI momentum 4h

+0.475%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+107 crowded

Time: 2026-10-15 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329318	fresh	2h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.708	expansion	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 38%	early 7b 0.3ATR	—	—	1.29	96%	↑ +0.65	value	-1.09	—	#163471	0.59	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.38	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:17	↗
4h #329261	fresh	2h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.646	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 41%	early 2b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.14	20%	↓ -0.35	value	-1.09	—	#163471	0.52	bear_high	-1.12%	+0.22	15/10 16:00 upd 15/10 20:14	↗
1h anchor #330303	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.262	compression	bear_high	66%	noisy_chop 43%	early 9b -0.2ATR	—	—	3.32	86%	↓ -0.36	value	-1.24	—	#163904	0.61	range_medium	-0.46%	+0.32	15/10 21:00 upd 15/10 22:11	↗
15m #330234	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.268	compression	range_medium	43%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 3b -1.3ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	0.02	1%	↑ +0.18	above_value	-0.81	—	#163730	0.55	range_low	+0.12%	-0.09	15/10 21:45 upd 15/10 22:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #204018	fresh	2026-10-15 21:00	0s	0.561	0.426	21/86	2026-10-15 22:00
4h #203760	fresh	2026-10-15 16:00	2h	0.474	0.518	45/86	2026-10-15 20:00
1d #203845	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	2h	0.646	0.826	15/85	2026-10-15 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #163817	fresh	2026-10-15 21:45	0s	$0.138856	$0.141321	$0.131460	value	-2.31	10.91
7d #163904	fresh	2026-10-15 21:00	0s	$0.140118	$0.148884	$0.128259	value	-1.24	7.67
30d #163557	fresh	2026-10-15 16:00	2h	$0.138695	$0.144967	$0.121671	hvn	-0.06	3.71

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.135129 → $0.136735	1.18%	1.78	0.46	reversion	—	↑ $0.000035	+0.04
below	$0.140404 → $0.141780	0.98%	1.52	0.48	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.003634	-4.02

Prix observé : $0.136770. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.121040 → $0.122759	1.41%	0.64	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.014011	+5.21
above	$0.123102 → $0.128946	4.64%	2.17	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007824	+2.91
below	$0.160915 → $0.162290	0.85%	0.51	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.024145	-8.97

Prix observé : $0.136770. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.094194 → $0.108530	14.14%	2.28	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.028240	+4.50

Prix observé : $0.136770. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T01:46:21+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 819,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T01:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}